In my opinion Roma is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals margin. -1.5 AH looks like very good option to play.

Both teams already played each other at this stadium in current season. Roma won 1:0 in Serie A, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 2.81 goals (27 shots!). They have good mental advantage.

Obviously, there is big difference between both teams in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. It's already Quarter-Final. I'm sure Jose Mourinho will use very strong line up for this game to get qualification into next round and to get momentum before upcoming Serie A matches. He is trophies collector and for sure he feels the blood at this stage of competition. Guests motivation for me is under big question mark - their main goal for current season is to avoid relegation, but at the moment they are in relegation zone and 3 days after this game they will play extremely important match at home in Serie A against Lecce. I'm not sure if we will see all top players on the pitch today.

Roma at home have a lot of consistency and stability at the back - in 9 home league matches they conceded only 5 goals. I can imagine clean sheet for hosts today.

On the other hand Cremonese already conceded 18 goals in 10 away league matches. According to the expected goals conceded model they have second-worst defensive formation in whole Serie A. It's really hard to trust them, especially on the road.

Roma is at least one class above them and have all required tools to score 2/3 goals and keep clean sheet at the end of the day. Looks like routine win for hosts.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，罗马在今天的比赛中是最受欢迎的，他们应该能够以至少2球的优势轻松取胜。1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

两队本赛季已经在这座球场交手过。罗马在意甲1:0获胜，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打入2.81球(27次射门!)他们有很好的心理优势。

显然，两支球队在实力、野心和潜力方面都有很大的不同。已经是四分之一决赛了。我相信穆里尼奥会在这场比赛中使用非常强大的阵容，以获得进入下一轮的资格，并在即将到来的意甲比赛之前获得动力。他是一个奖杯收藏家，当然他在这个阶段的比赛中感受到了鲜血。客人的动机对我来说是一个很大的问号，他们本赛季的主要目标是保级，但目前他们在降级区，在这场比赛3天后，他们将在意甲主场对阵莱切。我不确定我们今天是否能在球场上看到所有的顶级球员。

罗马在主场的后防线非常稳定，在9场主场联赛中他们只丢了5球。我可以想象今天的东道主没有失手。

另一方面，克雷莫纳斯已经在10场客场比赛中丢了18球。根据预期失球模型，他们的防守阵型在整个意甲排名第二。真的很难相信他们，尤其是在客场。

罗马至少比他们高一个级别，他们拥有所有必要的工具来进2/3球，并在一天结束时保持零失球。看起来东道主的胜利是例行公事。