In my opinion Lyon have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Lyon currently have fantastic streak at home in Ligue1 against Brest as they went unbeaten in 10 consecutive home league matches against them with excellent 18:4 goals balance (7 wins in the process).

Lyon coming for this game with big motivation to win. Lyon lost last two home league matches, but they didn't lost 3 in a row since 1997. Without any shadow of doubt they deserved for something more in those matches - they scored only one goal, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 3.52. Team is full of confidence, in previous round they won 2:0 on away against Ajaccio. They wants to go with momentum today.

Brest is very poor team on away and they have problems with stability at the back on the road. Brest conceded at least one goal in 27 of last 29 away league matches! I see continuation of this bad streak also today because they coming for this game without two key defenders - Fadiga and Chardonnet. Brest coach Eric Roy have horrible balance on away in Ligue1 matches as a manager - 14 losses in 25 matches on the road. In addition to that Brest coming for this game without their best scorer & best assistant Castillo. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Lyon loves to play against teams from bottom half of the table as they gained 24 of 28 points against such teams. I believe they have all required tools to make 3 points against Brest today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，里昂有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

里昂目前在法甲主场对阵布雷斯特的比赛中表现出色，他们在连续10场联赛主场对阵布雷斯特的比赛中保持不败，进球平衡达到18:4(7胜)。

里昂带着巨大的动力来赢得这场比赛。里昂输掉了最近的两场主场联赛，但他们自1997年以来从未三连败。毫无疑问，他们在这些比赛中应该得到更多的东西——他们只进了一个球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该得到3.52分。球队充满信心，上一轮他们在客场2:0战胜阿雅克肖。他们今天想以势头取胜。

布雷斯特在客场是一支非常差的球队，他们在客场的后场稳定性存在问题。布雷斯特在最近29场客场比赛中有27场至少丢了一个球!我认为他们今天还会继续这种糟糕的表现，因为他们在这场比赛中缺少了两名关键后卫——法迪加和霞多内。布雷斯特教练罗伊作为主教练在法甲的客场比赛中有可怕的平衡——25场客场比赛输了14场。除此之外，布雷斯特队本场比赛没有带走他们最好的得分手&最好的助手卡斯蒂略。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

里昂喜欢和排名靠后的球队比赛，因为他们在对阵排名靠后的球队时获得了28分中的24分。我相信他们有足够的能力在今天对阵布雷斯特的比赛中拿到3分。