On Tuesday night, we will know the first finalist of the EFL Cup. Newcastle United and Southampton are going to play the 2nd game and Newcastle won the first battle a week ago by 1:0. Newcastle controlled the ball more on the road (56% and 44%) and scored the only goal in the 76th minute. In this game, I'm predicting that Newcastle will win.

Since the restart of the season, Newcastle has won 5 games, drew 3 and lost 1. Out of the 5 wins, 3 were at home, and 1 draw was at home as well (Newcastle had an xG of 2.18 though) while the only loss was on the road in the FA Cup game. In the Premier League, Newcastle has been one of the best home teams with 6 wins in 10 games, a total of 18 goals scored and only 5 conceded which is tied for the best result. The team is expected to score 2.15 goals at home (4th best) and concede 1.12 (4th best).

Southampton hasn't performed so well after the World Cup. During the 10-game stretch, Southampton has 5 wins and 5 losses. The team struggles on the road overall, as they have just 3 wins in 10 Premier League games. Southampton has scored 8 goals (one of the worst results) and conceded 18. The team is expected to score 1.09 goals away from home (4th worst) and concede 1.57.

Although Southampton has won 5 games recently, the opponents weren't the best. The team beat Lincoln (League One team), Crystal Palace (12th best in the Premier League), Everton (2nd worst in the Premier League) and Blackpool (Championship team). The only good victory was against Manchester City in the previous EFL Cup round.

While Newcastle didn't have a game for a week and they were able to prepare for this match, Southampton had a game against Blackpool in the FA Cup just 3 days ago. There are no new injuries for both team but Southampton should feel some fatigue. They can't forget that their main goal is to get out of the relegation zone in the Premier League and they have a game on Saturday against Brentford. Newcastle has won 7 out of the last 9 meetings and should get the job done today as well. The difference is small and they won't allow slipping the chance to play in the final.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周二晚上，我们将知道足总杯决赛的第一支球队。纽卡斯尔联队和南安普顿将进行第二场比赛，纽卡斯尔在一周前以1:0赢得了第一场比赛。纽卡斯尔在客场控制球率更高(56%和44%)，并在第76分钟打入唯一进球。在这场比赛中，我预测纽卡队会赢。

自赛季重新开始以来，纽卡斯尔取得了5胜3平1负的成绩。在5场胜利中，3场是在主场，1场平局是在主场(纽卡斯尔的xG为2.18)，唯一的输球是在足总杯的客场比赛中。在英超联赛中，纽卡斯尔是最好的主场球队之一，10场比赛6胜，共进18球，只丢5球，并列最好成绩。球队预计在主场打入2.15球(排名第四)，失球1.12球(排名第四)。

南安普顿在世界杯后表现不佳。在10场比赛中，南安普顿取得了5胜5负的成绩。球队在客场表现不佳，因为他们在10场英超比赛中只赢了3场。南安普顿进了8球(这是最差的成绩之一)丢了18球。球队预计在客场打进1.09球(排名第四)，失球1.57球。

虽然南安普顿最近赢了5场比赛，但对手并不是最好的。球队击败了林肯(英甲球队)、水晶宫(英超排名第12)、埃弗顿(英超排名第二)和布莱克浦(英冠球队)。唯一一场不错的胜利是上一轮对曼城的比赛。

纽卡斯尔已经有一周没有比赛了，他们可以为这场比赛做准备，而南安普顿在三天前还有一场足总杯对阵布莱克浦的比赛。两队都没有新的伤病，但南安普顿应该会感到一些疲劳。他们不能忘记他们的主要目标是在英超联赛中脱离降级区，他们将在周六对阵布伦特福德。纽卡斯尔在过去的9场比赛中赢了7场，今天应该也能完成任务。差距很小，他们不会放过参加决赛的机会。