Pachuca VS Necaxa

Pachuca and Necaxa lock horns in this Liga MX round 4 clash at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo Monday morning Beijing time. It is very clear for everyone who follows Mexican football that Pachuca are the favorites here. They are the stronger team by pure class and do have an edge in all areas of the game. The biggest difference between the teams in the Pachuca's favor is in offensive power.. Indeed, Pachuca have netted the ball 10 times in Liga MX so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is just 7.76. Necaxa, on the other hand, have scored 28 times so far this season. The visitors do have a pretty solid defense and in this area of the game the hosts do not have a very clear edge. I expect them to be relatively defensive, quite possibly even cautious here against a very dangerous opponent that is usually strong in front of their fans. I believe Necaxa would probably be satisfied with one point here.. Because of the visitors' capable defense and the probable tactic in this match and the host lower than many believe scoring potential I see this match having a lower goal expectancy than the bookies do. The probability of under 2.5 total goals being scored is 54%. This suits the recommended bet well! Indeed, we will bet on +1.5 goals handicap on the visitors. All my fans and I need to make a profit is for the visitors not to lose by more than one goals' difference. The chance for this is 72%. The chance of the hosts winning is 57%. Based on my very sophisticated in-depth analysis Pachuca are significantly smaller favorites than the biggest, usually somewhat smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits seem to estimate. Let's remember that Necaxa have not lost any of their most recent seven games by more than one goal's difference!

The hosts currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with six points in the pocket. The visitors are in the 12th place with four points in this league with a total of 18 teams. I expect them to do better than last season when they finished in 12th place after the regular season. Pachuca, on the other hand, finished in 4th place but had some luck on their side grabbing more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). Their (xPTS) is 5.76. In their most recent game Pachuca defeated Juarez 4-1 at home. They were the better team but were also clear favorites, priced around 1.55-1.60 to take all three points according to the betting market. The final score is still quite misleading as Juarez even had 54% ball possession and the host only recorded one more shot on goal as well as scoring attempts than the visitors.. Before this they were, however, extremely disappointing away from home losing to U.A.N.L Tigres 1-4 after a very shaky defensive performance and are once again over-valued by the bookies here. If they do not improve in this area of the game Necaxa might even score more than once! Necaxa beat a strong team Cruz Azul 1-0 in their latest match after a very solid defensive performance. Before this they might easily have taken a point but lost to Club Leon away from home. In the opening round they were very unlucky to lose to Atl. San Luis 2-3 at home as they were slightly the better team on the pitch. The bookmakers should respect them more here!

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Pachuca VS Necaxa

北京时间周一早上，在米格尔·伊达尔戈球场，帕丘卡和内卡萨在西甲MX第4轮的比赛中对峙。对于每个关注墨西哥足球的人来说，帕楚卡是这里的最爱。他们是纯职业的更强的队伍，在游戏的所有领域都有优势。帕楚卡队之间最大的区别在于进攻能力。事实上，帕丘卡到目前为止已经在西甲MX中破门10次。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)只有7.76个。另一方面，内卡萨本赛季到目前为止已经打进28球。客队确实有相当坚固的防守，在这方面，主队并没有明显的优势。我预计他们会相对防守，很可能在这里面对一个非常危险的对手，在他们的球迷面前通常很强大。我相信Necaxa可能会对这里的一点感到满意。由于客队出色的防守和比赛中可能的战术，以及东道主的进球潜力低于许多人的预期，我认为这场比赛的进球预期比博彩公司的预期要低。总进球数在2.5球以下的概率为54%。这很适合推荐的赌注!事实上，我们将打赌客队会进1.5球。我和我所有的球迷都需要赚钱，就是不让客队输掉超过一个球的差距。这个概率是72%。东道主获胜的几率是57%。根据我非常复杂的深入分析，Pachuca的受欢迎程度明显小于最大的，通常有些聪明的博彩公司有最大的博彩限制似乎估计。让我们记住，在最近的七场比赛中，内卡萨没有输过任何一场比赛，比分差超过一个球!

东道主目前积6分，排在积分榜第7位。客队目前以4分排名联赛第12位，共有18支球队参赛。我希望他们能比上赛季做得更好，上赛季常规赛结束后他们只排在第12位。另一方面，Pachuca排名第四，但他们运气不错，在预期积分(xPTS)方面获得了比他们应得的更多积分。他们的(xPTS)是5.76。在最近的一场比赛中，帕楚卡在主场4-1击败了华雷斯。他们是更好的球队，但也明显是最受欢迎的球队，根据博彩市场的定价约为1.55-1.60分。最终的比分仍然很有误导性，华雷斯甚至有54%的控球率，东道主只比客队多一次射门和射门次数。然而，在此之前，他们在客场1-4负于uannl老虎队，表现非常不稳定，再一次被博彩公司高估。如果他们在这方面没有提高，Necaxa甚至可能会得分不止一次!内卡萨在最近一场比赛中以1-0击败了强队克鲁兹阿苏尔，他们的防守表现非常稳定。在此之前，他们可能很容易拿到一分，但在客场输给了莱昂俱乐部。在第一轮比赛中，他们很不幸地输给了阿特尔。圣路易斯在主场2-3取胜，因为他们在场上表现略好。在这里，博彩公司应该更尊重他们!