Elche +1 around par is a great opportunity. I will explain why.

Sevilla is having a very bad season, Sampaoli is a controversial coach and capable of very good things or very bad things. And this season is being capable of very bad things. Instead of fighting for a place in the Champions League as their dream is, they are fighting against relegation. They are just 1 point above the relegation places. They achieved some victories for the championship, there by a goal difference, but in the last game they returned to bad results and were eliminated by Osasuna from the Copa del Rey. It was a shock for them and I believe it will leave its mark on the team. They are under a lot of pressure, from what I know about Sampaoli he will send the team to attack with everything he has, which ends up leaving them unbalanced in defensive terms.

Elche is practically relegated, not even a miracle should save them. But despite that, the team is not humiliated by the opponents, they play tough games and usually lose by only 1 goal difference. Only against Real, Barcelona and Atl. Madrid ended up suffering the heaviest defeats but that's normal. They have been evolving and have managed 2 draws in the last few games, they are a competitive team despite the bad classification.

Sevilla at the moment is a very bad team tactically and under pressure, which ends up making the players nervous. Elche has everything to get out of this game with a good result.