Mainz vs Dortmund

Mainz welcome Dortmun for this German Bundesliga round 17 clash at Mewa Arena.This is the third-best league in the world but us football fans and bettors can expect a high-level match by Bundesliga standards! There is no doubt about the fact that the Dortmun are the better team here by pure class. They do have an edge in all areas of the game but not the margin is much smaller than the betting market seems to estimate. They deserve to be the favorites here but their odds are way too low at the moment,The biggest, often pretty smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits see the visitors as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.30 to travel home with all three points. I do not see a favorite in this match – it is a coin toss (50-50%). The match will be played on the 25th of this month so odds may, of course, change quite a lot before the kickoff.. Indeed, I expect the odds on the hosts to go down before the match starts as smart money will probably pile up on them.. Especially in handicap betting, Mainz are a lucrative betting option! I will recommend a bet on them with the +0.5 goals handicap. The chance of winning is high. Of course we must remember that both teams will play one game before this match.. We will win if Mainz avoid defeat here. They are currently in the 10th place in the 10th place in the standings. They have grabbed 19 points so far. Mainz have netted the ball 19 times so far and have allowed 24 goals. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 21.11 points.

In Bundesliga Mainz did not achieve very good results before the World Cup/ winter break but had some bad luck too. For example, right before the break they faced Frankfurt, a strong team currently in 4th place in the standings.. It was a 1-1 draw at home but Mainz would have deserved a narrow win as slim underdogs according to the bookies.. They recorded many more shots on target (6-3), goal attempts (19-10), attacks and dangerous attacks. Mainz also created much more in expcted goals (xG) 1.93-1.28. During the break they played three matches and did not lose any of these. Against Hoffenheim it was a 2-2 draw and versus Mallorca, a dangerous Spanish LaLiga team, the final score was 2-2. Furthermore, they crushed Luzern, a Swiss team, 5-1 after a fine offensive display! In the long run they have been very strong at home so I will not let the bad record this season fool me here.. Their fans are loud and offer a big boost! Dortmund, on the other hand, have been disappointing this season. They have not been lucky or unlucky in terms of xPTS. They have 25 points in the pocket and have a score difference of 25:21. They are in 6th place and I have significantly lowered their power rating - that reflects the teams' pure class - from the in-depth preseason analysis.. They can improve as the season progresses but the bookies still respect them too much here – once again. They lost two matches in this league before the break allowing six goals in these two games and I did not like these performances at all! Their defense has not been impressing at all away from home – and have allowed 16 goals in eight games on the road! Moreover, they have lost 5/8 games away from home in Bundesliga!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

美因茨vs多特蒙德

美因茨欢迎多特蒙德参加在梅瓦球场举行的德甲第17轮比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛，但美国球迷和投注者可以期待一场德甲标准的高水平比赛!毫无疑问，从级别上来说，多特蒙德是一支更好的球队。他们确实在游戏的所有领域都有优势，但并不是比博彩市场估计的要小得多。他们理应是最受欢迎的，但目前他们的赔率太低了。最大的，通常是非常聪明的博彩公司，他们的投注限额最大，他们认为游客是最受欢迎的，他们提供2.30左右的赔率，带着三分回家。在这场比赛中，我看不出谁是最受欢迎的——这是一个抛硬币的游戏(50-50%)。比赛将在本月25日进行，所以在开球前赔率当然会有很大变化。事实上，我预计在比赛开始前，东道主获胜的几率会下降，因为聪明的钱可能会堆积在他们身上。特别是在残障投注，美因茨是一个有利可图的投注选择!我将推荐他们与+0.5个进球障碍打赌。获胜的机会很大。当然，我们必须记住两队在比赛前还有一场比赛。如果美因茨在这里避免失败，我们就赢了。目前排名第10位。到目前为止，他们已经拿到了19分。美因茨到目前为止打进19球，失球24个。然而，就预期得分(xPTS)而言，他们应该得到21.11分。

在德甲联赛中，美因茨在世界杯/冬歇期之前并没有取得很好的成绩，但运气也不太好。例如，就在中场休息前，他们对阵法兰克福，一支目前排名第四的强队。这是主场1-1的平局，但美因茨本应以微弱优势取胜，因为根据博彩公司的说法。他们记录了更多的射正(6-3)，射门尝试(19-10)，攻击和危险攻击。美因茨也创造了更多的预期目标(xG) 1.93-1.28。在休息期间，他们打了三场比赛，没有输掉任何一场。对霍芬海姆2-2战平，对马洛卡，一支危险的西甲球队，最终比分2-2。此外，他们在出色的进攻表现后，以5-1击败了瑞士队卢塞恩队!从长远来看，他们在主场非常强大，所以我不会让这个赛季的糟糕记录欺骗我。他们的粉丝很吵，给了他们很大的鼓舞!另一方面，多特蒙德本赛季表现令人失望。就xPTS而言，他们既不幸运也不不幸。他们积25分，比分相差25:21。他们排在第6位，我从深入的季前赛分析中大幅降低了他们的实力评级——这反映了球队的纯粹水平。随着赛季的进展，他们可以有所进步，但博彩公司还是太尊重他们了——再一次。他们在中场休息前输了两场比赛，在这两场比赛中丢了6个球，我一点都不喜欢他们的表现!他们的防守在客场一点也不令人印象深刻——在8场客场比赛中被丢了16个球!此外，他们在德甲客场输掉了5/8场比赛!