In my opinion Vitoria have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Vitoria coming for this game with huge mental advantage because in last match between both teams they recorded huge 5:0 win at home. In addition to that Vitoria didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches at this stadium.

Vitoria coming for this game with the strongest possible line up. On the other hand Gil Vicente in previous round played without three key defensive players: first goalkeeper Andrew and defenders Cunha & Fernandes. Probably we will not see all of them also today. That should be very problematic - Gil Vicente conceded 22 goals so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 23.7 (only 4 teams whole league have higher number). Vitoria conceded only 16 goals, according to the model they should 16.8 (only 4 teams in whole league have lower number).

For me is hard to trust for hosts - in current season they failed to win in 6 of 8 home matches and scored only 5 goals in the process. In last round they lost 0:1 on away against Boavista so for sure they not coming here full of confidence.

In the midweek Vitoria lost 2:3 on away against strong Braga. Despite the loss, that was very positive performance and if team will continue play on this level, I see positive result for them.

On those circumstances I see good opportunity for Vitoria to avoid loss in this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，维多利亚很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

维多利亚队在这场比赛中有着巨大的心理优势，因为在两队的上一场比赛中，他们在主场5:0取得了巨大的胜利。除此之外，维多利亚在过去的4场比赛中有3场在这个球场没有输球。

维多利亚队带着最强大的阵容来参加这场比赛。另一方面，吉尔·维森特在上一轮比赛中没有三名关键的防守球员:第一门将安德鲁和后卫库尼亚。费尔南德斯。可能今天我们也不会全部看到。这应该是很有问题的——吉尔·维森特到目前为止丢了22个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢23.7个球(全联赛只有4支球队的失球数高于吉尔·维森特)。维多利亚只丢了16球，根据模型，他们应该丢了16.8球(全联赛只有4支球队比他们少)。

对我来说，很难相信东道主——在本赛季，他们在8场主场比赛中有6场没有赢球，在这个过程中只进了5球。上一轮他们在客场0:1输给了博阿维斯塔，所以他们肯定不会满怀信心来到这里。

周中，维多利亚客场2:3输给了强大的布拉加。尽管输球了，但这是非常积极的表现，如果球队能继续保持这样的水平，我看到了积极的结果。

在这种情况下，我认为维多利亚有机会在这场比赛中避免输球。