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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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They're to continue hot streak? 法甲兰斯VS尼斯

2023-01-15

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期日2023-01-15 22:00

解读理由

In my opinion Nice have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Nice have really solid record against Reims as they didn't lost in 14 of last 17 matches against them in all competitions. In addition to that Nice didn't lost in last 6 matches in a row at this stadium (in previous season won here 3:2) so for sure they coming here without any fear.

In last round Nice played their first match with new coach on the bench - Didier Digard. That was impressive start. Everything clicking together - team scored 6 goals and conceded only one, but according to the expected goals scored they should concede 0.22 (only 4 shots faced). Looks like new coach have great idea how to improve offensive formation because without any shadow of doubt that was their best performance in this campaign. Defense already is really good - only two teams in whole league have lower expected goals conceded number in current season. Nice in current season didn't lost in 6 of 9 matches on the road, but results should look even better. According to the expected goals scored/conceded model they should scored one goal more and concede 1.5 goal less in away matches.

Of course, Reims went unbeaten in last 10 matches in a row (4 wins in the process), but I still don't have big trust for them. They failed to win in 14 of last 20 home league matches. I saw Reims last round match on away against Ajaccio. They won 1:0, but that wasn't fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Ajaccio 1.02, for Reims 1.00.

I believe Nice have all required tools to avoid loss in today's game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来尼斯很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

尼斯在与兰斯的比赛中有非常稳定的记录,在过去的17场比赛中,他们在各项赛事中有14场没有输球。除此之外,尼斯在过去的6场比赛中没有在这个球场输球(上个赛季在这里3:2获胜),所以他们肯定会毫无畏惧地来到这里。

在上一轮比赛中,尼斯的新教练迪迪埃·迪加德坐在替补席上,这是他们的第一场比赛。这是一个令人印象深刻的开始。一切都很顺利——球队进了6球,只丢了1球,但根据预期进球数,他们应该丢0.22球(只面对4次射门)。看起来新教练对如何改进进攻阵型有很好的想法,因为毫无疑问,这是他们在这个赛季的最佳表现。防守已经很好了——整个联赛中只有两支球队的预期失球数比他们低。尼斯在本赛季的9场客场比赛中有6场没有输球,但结果应该看起来更好。根据预期进球数/失球数模型,他们应该在客场多进1球,少丢1.5球。

当然,兰斯在过去的10场比赛中保持不败(4场胜利),但我仍然不太信任他们。在过去的20场主场联赛中,他们有14场没有赢球。我看了兰斯上一轮客场对阿雅克肖的比赛。他们以1:0获胜,但这并不是完全应得的结果:阿雅克肖1.02的预期进球数,兰斯1.00的预期进球数。

我相信尼斯已经有了在今天的比赛中避免输球的所有必要的工具。


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