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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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11/9 in my last Serie A matches 🎯🎯🎯 意甲乌迪内斯VS博洛尼亚

2023-01-15

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-01-15 22:00

解读理由

In my opinion Bologna have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

For sure Bologna coming for this game without any fear as they didn't lost against Udinese in last 5 matches in a row (also last two at this stadium).

Currently Udinese is 4 places above Bologna (6 points difference), but that really shouldn't look like this. Udinese scored 25 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 21.9. They conceded 19 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 21.9.

For me is hard to see Udinese as so big favorite in this game - they failed to win in last 9 league matches in a row! This year not looking convincing at all - 1:1 at home against poor Empoli and 0:1 loss on away against Juventus. They had problems with finishing product. According to many sources, Udinese best scorer Beto (6 goals) will start on the bench today.

Bologna lost first two matches in 2023, but they played against two teams from top7 (Roma on away & Atalanta at home). As You can see, if You look deeper - they not played bad. In both matches Bologna deserved for something more as twice they had higher expected goals scored number than their opponents (excluding penalty kick for Roma)

On those circumstances I see really good opportunity for Bologna to break bad streak today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,博洛尼亚很有可能在今天的比赛中拿到至少一分。

当然,博洛尼亚来参加这场比赛没有任何恐惧,因为他们在过去的5场比赛中没有输给乌迪内斯(也是最近在这个球场的两场比赛)。

目前乌迪内斯比博洛尼亚高4个名次(6分的差距),但这真的不应该是这样的。乌迪内斯进了25球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该进21.9球。他们丢了19个球,但根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢21.9个球。

对我来说,很难看到乌迪内斯在这场比赛中如此受欢迎——他们在最近9场联赛中都没有赢球!今年看起来一点也不令人信服——主场1:1对可怜的恩波利,客场0:1输给尤文图斯。他们在成品方面有问题。根据多方消息,乌迪内斯最佳射手贝托(6球)将在今天首发出场。

博洛尼亚在2023年输掉了前两场比赛,但他们对阵了两支来自世界排名前7的球队(罗马客场&亚特兰大在家里)。如你所见,如果你看得更深,他们踢得还不错。在这两场比赛中,博洛尼亚都应该得到更多的东西,因为他们两次的期望进球数都高于对手(不包括罗马的点球)。

在这种情况下,我认为博洛尼亚今天有很好的机会打破连胜。


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