Annecy VS Paris FC

Annecy welcome Paris FC for this round 19 clash at Parc des Sports  early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, usually somewhat smart bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers see the visitors as favorites here. I, however, have to disagree with them! In my view with the expected lineups the hosts have a slight edge to take all three points with a 39 % chance  Paris FC currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with 27 points to their account. They have definitely been weaker than last season when they finished in fourth place with 70 points. The bookies clearly fail to fully recognize this drop in their level and keep over-estimating them! I have clearly lowered their power rating from my in-depth preseason analysis. FC Paris's offense in particular has been a massive disappointment – they have scored just 17 goals in Ligue 2 so far – less than the rock-bottom team St. Etienne! They do have potential for improvement in this area but I believe this will take time and might require being a skilled striker and/or a creative offensive-minded midfielder.. So far their offense has lacked everything needed to really succeed in this league: structure, creativity, speed and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal.. Their defense has been pretty solid though and they have allowed only 17 goals. The hosts have an almost identical score difference – 16:17 to be specific. The expectations for them were much lower than for FC Paris before the season started but are having a positive season overall. As both teams struggle offensively and defend well I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 66%. Furthermore, the probability of a draw is quite high – 34%. With the recommended handicap option his result would be enough to bring my fans and me the 6th winner in a row betting on this league!

Annecy have taken 21 points so far and occupy the 14th place in the league table. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 23.16 points and would earn more respect on the betting market! They are in the 13th place in my power rating which reflects the teams' pure class. FC Paris, on the other hand, are in the 10th place in this ranking and unarguably have a small edge in pure class. However, they most teams in Ligue have a big home advantage and this is the case here as well! Annecy were promoted from National (3rd tier) for this season and do not have any well-known stars in the squad. These factors probably are some of the key reasons behind the under-valuation by the bookmakers. .However, they play well as a team, have an excellent coach and according to my sources have an awesome team spirit! The visitors' xPTS is 25.04. This and the pretty strong last season must be the main factors behind factors explaining the over-valuation on the betting market..  Both teams have been in pretty good form lately. Indeed, Annecy have not lost any of their most recent five games in this league! In their most recent match they faced Valenciennes away from home and played well as underdogs on the betting market. This was one of their best performances this season offensively – promising for them moving forward! 2-2 was the final score after a somewhat balanced game. Annecy had 51% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts – 15-10. Both teams created five shots on target. Before this they were on fire beating Villerupt Thil 6-1 on the road in a Coupe de France (French Cup) battle. Yes, they were very clear favorites and the hosts' J. Milla did receive a red card in the first half but it was still a fine performance! The visitors have taken three wins,one draw and suffered one defeat in their most recent five games in Ligue 2. In their most recent match they beat Dijon, currently in 17th place, 2-1 at home. They were slightly the better team on the pitch but I was not too impressed by them as a whole.. They were clear favorites to win on the betting market and did have 53% ball possession but only recorded one more scoring attempt than Dijon – 12-11.

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安纳西VS巴黎

安纳西欢迎巴黎足球俱乐部在体育公园进行第19轮比赛。北京时间周六凌晨。最大的，通常有点聪明的博彩公司接受顾客最大的赌注，他们认为游客是最受欢迎的。然而，我不同意他们的看法!在我看来，按照预期的阵容，东道主有39%的机会拿下三分，略占优势。巴黎目前以27分的成绩排在积分榜的第7位。上赛季他们以70分排名第四，现在他们的实力肯定比上赛季弱。博彩公司显然没有充分认识到他们水平的下降，并一直高估他们!在我的季前赛深度分析中，我明显降低了他们的实力评级。巴黎足球俱乐部的进攻尤其令人失望——到目前为止，他们在法甲只进了17球——比垫底的圣埃蒂安球队还少!他们在这方面确实有提升的潜力，但我相信这需要时间，可能需要成为一名技术娴熟的前锋和/或一名富有创造力的进攻型中场。到目前为止，他们的进攻缺乏在这个联盟中真正取得成功所需的一切:结构、创造力、速度和在对手球门附近传球的准确性。他们的防守相当稳固，只丢了17个球。东道主的比分相差几乎相同——具体来说是16:17。人们对他们的期望比赛季开始前对巴黎FC的期望要低得多，但总的来说，他们有一个积极的赛季。由于两支球队在进攻和防守上都很挣扎，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低。总进球数在2.5球以下的概率为66%。此外，平局的概率相当高——34%。有了推荐的差点选项，他的成绩足以让我的球迷和我连续第六个在这个联赛中获胜!

到目前为止，安纳西已经获得了21分，在积分榜上排名第14位。然而，就预期积分(xPTS)而言，他们应该得到23.16分，并在博彩市场上赢得更多的尊重!在我的实力评分中，他们排在第13位，这反映了两支球队的纯粹水平。另一方面，巴黎足球俱乐部在这个排名中排名第10，毫无疑问在纯级别上有一点优势。然而，法甲的大多数球队都有很大的主场优势，这里也是如此!安纳西本赛季从国家(第三级别)升级，阵容中没有任何知名的球星。这些因素可能是庄家低估的一些关键原因。然而，他们作为一个团队踢得很好，有一个优秀的教练，根据我的消息来源，他们有一种令人敬畏的团队精神!客队的xPTS为25.04。这和上赛季相当强劲的表现肯定是解释博彩市场估值过高的主要因素。两支球队最近状态都很好。事实上，安纳西在最近的五场比赛中没有输过一场!在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场面对瓦伦西安，在博彩市场上表现得很好。这是他们本赛季进攻端的最佳表现之一，他们有望继续前进!在一场有点平衡的比赛之后，最终比分是2比2。安纳西拥有51%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数——15-10。两队都有5次射正。在此之前，他们在一场法国杯比赛中以6-1的比分击败了维尔喷发特。是的，他们很明显是最受欢迎的，东道主米拉在上半场吃到红牌，但这仍然是一个很好的表现!客队在最近的5场法甲比赛中取得了3胜1平1负的成绩。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了目前排名第17位的第戎。他们在球场上表现稍好，但我对他们的整体印象不太深刻。在博彩市场上，他们显然是最受欢迎的赢家，他们确实拥有53%的控球率，但只比第戎(12-11)多了一次得分机会。