In my opinion Fiorentina is clear favorite of today's match up.

In last match between both teams in November Fiorentina won 2:0 on away so they have big mental advantage before today's match.

Fiorentina coming here in good mood. In two matches after the break they gained 4 points. 5 days ago they won at home against Sassuolo by goal scored in additional time. For sure that was big boost of confidence. Fiorentina also don't have to travel anywhere so it's good handicap. In both matches after the break they looked very dangerous - 37 shots and 3 goals scored, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 4.25.

Sampdoria together with Hellas have the worst defensive formation in Serie A. In addition to that today they are witnout key central defender Colley. Sampdoria have huge problems with creativity - they created only 12 big chances to score in current season, the worst result in Serie A. Their motivation is under huge question mark - they are in relegation zone so Cup for sure is not the highest priority. At Monday they have very important match against Empoli in Serie A.

In two matches after the break Sampdoria had only 33.5% average ball possession. Fiorentina should be able to control this game and make routine win at the end of the day.

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在我看来，佛罗伦萨在今天的比赛中是最受欢迎的。

在11月两队的最后一场比赛中，佛罗伦萨在客场2:0获胜，所以他们在今天的比赛前有很大的心理优势。

佛罗伦萨人心情很好。在中场休息后的两场比赛中，他们得了4分。5天前他们在主场以加时赛的进球战胜萨索洛。这无疑是信心的巨大提升。佛罗伦萨也不需要去任何地方，所以这是一个很好的障碍。在中场休息后的两场比赛中，他们看起来非常危险——37次射门和3个进球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该得到4.25分。

桑普多利亚和希腊拥有意甲最差的防守阵型。除此之外，今天他们还见证了关键中卫科利的缺席。桑普多利亚在创造力方面存在巨大的问题——他们本赛季只创造了12次大的进球机会，这是意甲最差的成绩。他们的动力是一个巨大的问号——他们在降级区，所以杯赛肯定不是最优先考虑的事情。周一他们将在意甲联赛中与恩波利进行非常重要的比赛。

在中场休息后的两场比赛中，桑普多利亚平均控球率只有33.5%。佛罗伦萨应该能够控制这场比赛，并在比赛结束时取得常规的胜利。