In my opinion Bilbao have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Bilbao coming for this game with big mental advantage. In previous season they were able to win twice against Osasuna (3:1 on away, 2:0 at home) so why not today?

Without any shadow of doubt Bilbao have huge advantage in fitness department. Both teams played in Copa del Rey at Thursday, but Osasuna played 120 minutes on away against Gimnastic. 3 defenders (Pena, Garcia, Sanchez) will play in first squad also today. That should be problematic. Two key defenders Unai (14 matches) and Vidal (12 matches) are unavailable today. Bilbao coming with freshness on their side and with the strongest possible line up. That shouldn make big difference.

Bilbao have advance at both ends of the pitch. According to the expected goals conceded model they have the best defensive formation in whole league as they should concede 10.3 (conceded 14 goals). Bilbao also is very dangerous team in attack - only Barcelona and Real Madrid scored more goals so far. I believe players like Muniain, Williams or Guruzeta have all required tools to make big troubles for depleted and tired guests defensive formation.

On those circumstances Bilbao looks like strong favorite. Their stability at the back should make big difference.

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在我看来，毕尔巴鄂有很大的机会在今天的比赛中拿到3分。

毕尔巴鄂在这场比赛中占据了很大的精神优势。上个赛季他们两次战胜奥萨苏纳(客场3:1，主场2:0)，为什么今天不能?

毫无疑问，毕尔巴鄂在健身方面有巨大的优势。两支球队都参加了周四的国王杯，但是奥萨苏纳在客场对阵吉纳斯蒂克的比赛中打了120分钟，三名后卫(佩纳、加西亚和桑切斯)也将在今天的比赛中首发出场。这应该是有问题的。两名关键后卫乌奈(14场比赛)和比达尔(12场比赛)今天无法上场。毕尔巴鄂带着他们的新鲜感和最强的阵容来了。这应该会有很大的不同。

毕尔巴鄂在球场两端都有进步。根据预期失球模型，他们拥有整个联赛最好的防守阵型，他们应该丢10.3个球(丢14个球)。毕尔巴鄂在进攻端也是一支非常危险的球队，到目前为止，只有巴萨和皇马进球比毕尔巴鄂多。我相信像穆尼亚因、威廉姆斯或古鲁泽塔这样的球员都有必要的工具来给疲惫不堪的客人的防守阵型制造大麻烦。

在这种情况下，毕尔巴鄂看起来是最受欢迎的。他们在后场的稳定性会带来很大的不同。