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2023-01-08

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-01-08 22:00

解读理由

The Italian Serie A is continuing on Sunday with 5 games. The 2nd game of the day is going to be between Lazio and Empoli. After 16 games, Lazio has 9 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, a total of 30 points and the 5th place in the standings. Empoli has 4 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses, a total of 18 points and the 13th position. In this game, I'm predicting Lazio's win.

This week the Serie A resumed, and Lazio got a shocking loss against Lecce. Lazio was leading until the 57th minute when opponents tied the score and 14 minutes later Lecce got the lead. This game was on the road where Lazio isn't so great but at home, they are playing well. Lazio has 5 wins in 8 home games, they have scored 14 goals and conceded only 7 which is the 7th best result among all teams.

Empoli restarted the season with a 1:1 against Udinese. The team scored already in the 3rd minute, but they conceded in the 70th minute, and 9 minutes later Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro received a 2nd yellow card and Empoli played with a 10-man roster. Empoli was lucky enough to get a point as Udinese had 21 shots total, just 3 shots on target but their xG was 1.95 while Empoli had 6 shots, 1 on target, and an xG of 0.43. On the road, Empoli has just 1 win in 8 games, but they have scored just 6 times (the 5th worst among all teams) and conceded 12 times (the 4th worst among TOP13 teams).

After the statistics, we can see that Empoli struggles on the road. In the last 4 games away from home, Empoli has only 2 goals. Per xG, the team has the 7th-worst xG on the road (1.28) and the worst xGA (2.13). While Lazio isn't the most attacking team in the league, they have Ciro Immobile who has 7 goals scored and that is tied for the 4th-best result. One of two Lazio's losses was against top-seeded Napoli and the draw was against Udinese which is the 8th best team right now. Lazio also lost to Salernitana but the stats show something different as the team had an xG of 1.91 while opponents had 1.49 and 3 goals scored.

The motivation for Lazio in this game should sky-high. The team currently is in TOP5 but tied with Rome which is the 6th best. Lazio can't afford to lose points as a place outside of TOP6 would mean not playing in any of the European tournaments but their ambitions are way beyond that as they will compete in the Conference League playoffs in February. Out of the last 7 matchups, Lazio has won 6 times but in Rome, Lazio has won 10 out of 13 games.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

意甲联赛将于周日继续进行,共进行5场比赛。今天的第二场比赛将在拉齐奥和恩波利之间进行。16场比赛过后,拉齐奥取得9胜3平4负,积30分,排名第五。恩波利4胜6平6负,积18分排名第13。在这场比赛中,我预测拉齐奥会赢。

本周意甲联赛重新开始,拉齐奥令人震惊地输给了莱切。拉齐奥一直领先到第57分钟,对手追平比分,14分钟后莱切取得领先。这场比赛是在客场进行的,拉齐奥不是很出色,但在主场,他们踢得很好。拉齐奥在8个主场比赛中取得了5胜,他们进了14球,只丢了7球,这在所有球队中排名第七。

恩波利以1:1的比分重新开始了赛季。球队在第3分钟就取得了进球,但他们在第70分钟就失球了,9分钟后让-丹尼尔·阿克帕·阿克普罗吃到第二张黄牌,恩波利采用了10人阵容。恩波利很幸运地得到了一分,因为乌迪内斯总共有21次射门,只有3次射正,但他们的xG为1.95,而恩波利有6次射门,1次射正,xG为0.43。在客场,恩波利8场比赛只取得1场胜利,但他们只有6次进球(所有球队中排名第五),12次失球(TOP13球队中排名第四)。

在统计数据之后,我们可以看到恩波利在客场挣扎。最近4场客场比赛,恩波利只进了2球。按xG计算,车队的xG排名第七(1.28),xGA排名最差(2.13)。虽然拉齐奥不是联赛中最具攻击性的球队,但他们的因莫比莱已经打进7球,这是并列第4的最佳成绩。拉齐奥输掉的两场比赛之一是对阵头号种子那不勒斯,平局是对阵乌迪内斯,这是目前排名第八的球队。拉齐奥也输给了萨勒尼塔纳,但数据显示有些不同,球队的xG为1.91,而对手的xG为1.49,进了3球。

拉齐奥在这场比赛中的动力应该是非常高的。这支球队目前排名第五,但与罗马并列第六。拉齐奥不能失去积分,因为排在前6名之外就意味着不能参加任何欧洲赛事,但他们的野心远远不止于此,因为他们将在2月份的联赛季后赛中竞争。在过去的7场比赛中,拉齐奥赢了6场,但在罗马,拉齐奥赢了13场比赛中的10场。


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