Udinese VS Empoli

Udinese welcome Empoli for this Italian Serie A – the 4th-best league in the world - round 16 clash at Dacia Arena in Udine early Thursday morning Beijing time. Udinese are clear favorites to send the visitors home without any points. The biggest, usually rather smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits offer odds of around 1.70 on the hosts and I find this price, in my view, very lucrative. However, I would not be surprised to see their odds go down before the kickoff as clever money is expected to pile up on Udinese.. They currently occupy the 8h place in the standings with 24 points to their account. Their score difference is good 24:17 In terms of expected points (xPTS) they have not been either lucky or unlucky. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 21.89. Empoli, on the other hand, are in the 13th place with 17 points in the bank. Their score difference is weak – 12:19. The 12 goals scored is the 3rd-lowest number in Serie A. Their offense has lacked structure, creativity, pass accuracy and individual skill. The midfielders should also participate in attacking more actively if they want to climb up the standings. However, I only have them as the 15th-best in this league in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They cannot match the hosts in any area of the game. 

Empoli are a pretty lame team away from home and have won just one of the seven games on the road.. In their most recent away game they were dominated by Napoli, a very strong team though, and lost 0-2. They only recorded 0.18 in expected goals (xG). Napoli's number was 2.19. Right before the World Cup break they beat a lowly team Cremonese 2-0 at home but the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest. The visitors even recorded many more scoring attempts. The ball possession was 50-50%. Udinese challenged Napoli pretty well before the break despite losing 2-3 away from home. Napoli were big favorites in this game on the betting market – priced around 1.50 to win. They did deserve the win after having 64% ball possession but only recorded one more shot on goal (5-4). Napoli's xG was 1.43 – Udinese recorded 1.21. They have not taken a win in Serie A but were very unlucky in some games that were draws. However, during the break they took to clear, morale-boosting win in friendlies. They beat Cremonese 3-1 and Lecce 2-0- Udinese will remain without Adam Masina, who may not feature again this season at all because of an anterior cruciate ligament rupture. Gerard Deulofeu's (foot injury) and D. Udogie's situation is unclear at the time of writing this Wednesday morning Beijing time. Empoli is expected to miss a key forward Mattia Destro  who has been struggling with a calf issue. Tonelli (knee injury) is also questionable.

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乌迪内斯VS恩波利

北京时间周四凌晨，乌迪内斯欢迎恩波利在乌迪内斯达西亚球场进行意甲第16轮的比赛，恩波利是世界排名第四的联赛。乌迪内斯很有希望将客队零分送回家。最大的、通常相当聪明的博彩公司开出最大投注限额的赔率约为1.70，在我看来，这个价格非常有利可图。然而，我不会对他们在开球前赔率下降感到惊讶，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在乌迪内斯身上。他们目前以24分的优势占据了8个积分榜的位置。他们的得分相差很好24:17在期望得分(xPTS)方面，他们既不幸运也不不幸。他们的预期进球数(xG)为21.89。另一方面，恩波利积17分排在第13位。他们的比分差很小，是12:19。12个进球是意甲联赛中第三低的数字。他们的进攻缺乏结构、创造力、传球准确性和个人技术。中场球员也应该更积极地参与进攻，如果他们想要爬上积分榜。然而，在我的实力评分中，他们只排在联盟的第15位，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。他们在比赛的任何方面都比不上东道主。

恩波利在客场表现不佳，七场客场比赛只赢了一场。在最近的一场客场比赛中，他们被那不勒斯(一支非常强大的球队)统治，并以0-2输掉了比赛。他们的预期进球(xG)仅为0.18。那不勒斯的数字是2.19。就在世界杯休息前，他们在主场2-0击败了一支实力较弱的球队克雷莫纳斯，但比赛比最终比分显示的更加平衡。客队甚至记录了更多的得分尝试。控球率是50% -50%。乌迪内斯在休息前对那不勒斯的挑战相当不错，尽管在客场2-3输掉了比赛。那不勒斯在这场比赛中是博彩市场上的大热门，他们的赔率约为1.50欧元。他们拥有64%的控球率，但只记录了一次射门(5-4)，这是他们应得的胜利。那不勒斯的xG为1.43，乌迪内斯为1.21。他们在意甲没有赢过一场，但在一些平局的比赛中非常不走运。然而，在休息期间，他们在友谊赛中取得了鼓舞士气的胜利。他们3-1击败了克雷莫纳斯，2-0击败了莱切——乌迪内斯将没有亚当·马西纳，他可能因为前十字韧带断裂而无法在本赛季再次出场。杰拉尔·德乌洛费乌(脚伤)和乌多吉的情况在北京时间周三上午撰写本文时还不清楚。恩波利预计将失去一名关键前锋马蒂亚·德德罗斯。他的小腿受伤了。托内利(膝伤)也有问题。