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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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What 🔨⛏️⛏️ will do at Elland Road?

2023-01-04

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期四2023-01-05 03:45

解读理由

In my opinion West Ham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

West Ham for sure coming for this game without any fear as they won last two consecutive matches at this stadium. In previous season Hammers won 2:1 at Elland Road so why not today?

West Ham won last three Premier League matches on away when played against teams from Yorkshire. Hammers also won last 3 consecutive first matches of new calendar year. On the other hand Leeds lost last 5 Premier League matches against teams from London. They won opening match of the new calendar year in previous season, but in last 10 years they not recorded two such wins in a row.

Leeds is two points above relegation zone and it's position about their current potential. In two matches after the break they looked toothless (they scored one goal, 0.96 expected goals scored) and horrible at the back (3 goals conceded, but 6.59 expected goals conceded). They conceded more than two goals in last 3 home league matches in a row. In 2022 they conceded 35 goals at Elland Road and it's their worst result since 1959. Hard to imagine clean sheet for them today.

West Ham lost last two matches after the break, but they played against two in-form opponents (Arsenal & Brentford). In both matches West Ham produced expected goals scored number above 1.00. In overall West Ham plays much better than their results shows - they scored 13 goals in current season, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 22. They conceded 22 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 19.6. I believe today it's perfect moment to break bad streak and bounce back on good track.

West Ham coach David Moyes didn't lost in all 4 away matches against Leeds in his managerial career and he have all required tools to continue this streak with his team today. West Ham should be able to score at least one goal and that should be enough to avoid loss at Elland Road.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,西汉姆联很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

西汉姆联队肯定会毫无顾忌地来参加这场比赛,因为他们在这个球场连续赢了两场比赛。上个赛季铁锤队在埃兰路2:1获胜,为什么今天不呢?

西汉姆联最近三次在客场战胜约克郡的球队时都赢了。铁锤也赢得了过去3个连续的第一场比赛的新日历年。另一方面,利兹联在最近5场英超比赛中输给了来自伦敦的球队。他们在上个赛季赢得了新日历年的揭幕战,但在过去10年里,他们没有连续两场这样的胜利。

利兹比降级区高出两分,这是他们目前潜力的位置。在中场休息后的两场比赛中,他们看起来没有实力(他们进了1球,预期进球数为0.96),后防线表现糟糕(失球3球,预期失球6.59球)。他们在最近3场主场联赛中连续丢球超过2球。2022年,他们在埃兰路球场丢了35球,这是他们自1959年以来的最差成绩。很难想象他们今天还能不失手。

西汉姆联在中场休息后输掉了最后两场比赛,但他们对阵的是两个状态良好的对手(阿森纳&布伦特福德)。在两场比赛中,西汉姆联队的预期进球数都超过了1。总的来说,西汉姆联的表现比他们的结果要好得多——他们在本赛季进了13球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该进22球。他们丢了22球,但根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢19.6球。我相信今天是打破坏习惯,重回正轨的完美时刻。

西汉姆联主帅大卫·莫耶斯在他的执教生涯中4次客场对阵利兹联的比赛都没有输过,今天他已经拥有了所有必要的工具来继续他的球队的连胜。西汉姆联应该至少能进一个球,这应该足以避免在埃兰路输球。


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