Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

Big derby game 🔥 Big value bet 💥

2023-01-04

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期四2023-01-05 04:00

解读理由

In my opinion Wolves have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Guests coming for this game with good mental advantage as they didn't lost at Villa Park in last 6 Premier League matches in a row. In previous season Wolverhampton won twice (3:2 in Birmingham).

I expect very close, hard match for Aston Villa. It's a derby match - only 35 minutes drive by car between both club stadiums (good advantage for guests). In last 6 league matches between both teams we saw 35 yellow cards and 2 red cards. On those circumstances is hard to see Aston Villa as so big fav here.

Both teams are in transition process as they have new managers from Spain - Emery in Aston Villa, Lopetegui in Wolves (they faced in La Liga once, match finished with draw). Aston Villa coach Unai Emery played 3 matches against Wolves in his managerial career and 3 times failed to win.

Aston Villa made 9 points in 4 matches with Emery on the bench, but results looks better than really should. In those matches they scored 8 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 4.60. They conceded 5 goals (4.90 expected goals conceded). Today they are without two key central midfielder Ramsey (2 goals & 2 assists in 15 matches) and McGinn (1 assist in 17 matches).

Wolverhampton won in their last away match on away against Everton and for me it's big proof about team improvement. That was first Premier League match for Lopetegui and before his arrival they failed to win in 13 of last 14 away league matches. In last round Wolves lost 0:1 at home against Manchester United, but Red Devils are in great form now so no shame at all. Wolverhampton coming for this game with very strong line up.

I see good chances for guests, double chance on Wolves looks like nice bet to play here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,狼队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

客人们带着良好的心理优势来观看这场比赛,因为他们在过去的6场英超比赛中都没有在维拉公园输球。在上个赛季狼队赢了两次(3:2伯明翰)。

我预计阿斯顿维拉会有一场非常激烈的比赛。这是一场德比比赛——两家俱乐部体育场之间只有35分钟的车程(对客人来说是个好优势)。在过去的6场联赛中,我们看到了35张黄牌和2张红牌。在这种情况下,很难看到阿斯顿维拉在这里如此受欢迎。

两支球队都有了来自西班牙的新教练,埃梅里在阿斯顿维拉,洛佩特吉在狼队(他们在西甲交手过一次,比赛以平局结束)。阿斯顿维拉主教练乌奈·埃梅里在他的执教生涯中与狼队有过3次比赛,其中3次失败。

阿斯顿维拉在埃梅里坐在替补席上的4场比赛中得到9分,但结果看起来比实际情况要好。在这些比赛中,他们进了8个球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该得到4.60分。他们丢了5球(预期丢了4.90球)。今天他们缺少了两名核心中场拉姆塞(2球;15场2助攻)和麦克金(17场1助攻)。

狼队在上一场客场战胜了埃弗顿,对我来说这是球队进步的有力证明。这是洛佩特吉的第一场英超比赛,在他到来之前,他们在过去的14场客场比赛中有13场未能获胜。上一轮狼队在主场0:1输给曼联,但是红魔现在状态很好,所以一点也不丢人。狼队带着强大的阵容来参加这场比赛。

我认为客人有很好的机会,狼队有双倍的机会,看起来是很好的赌注。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。