In my opinion Leicester have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up. Odds on home side are simply too high.

Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers loves to play against Fulham in Premier League, he won 8 of 9 matches against them in this competition.

Leicester have really good record in opening matches of calendar year. Foxes won 9 of last 14 such matches. On the other hand Fulham have horrible record in away Premier League matches played in January - they lost 16 of last 23.

I watched both teams in last round really careful and I enjoyed what I saw from Leicester against Liverpool on the road despite their loss (1:2). Leicester were able to create dangerous chances to score and they conceded twice by two accidental own goals. For sure team have big motivation to bounce back on good track front of home crowd and they have all required tools because good level is there. It's have to be finally converted into good result. Fulham won 2:1 at home against poor Southampton, but that wasn't convincing performance at all as they had only 8 shots in that game. Fulham defensive formation is very leaky on the road and I can imagine a lot of chances for Leicester today. Fulham conceded 13 goals in 8 away matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 15.93.

I see around 60% chances for Leicester to make win today so it's very valuable bet in my eyes.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，莱斯特城有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。主场的赔率太高了。

莱斯特城的主教练罗杰斯喜欢在英超联赛中对阵富勒姆，他在对阵富勒姆的9场比赛中赢了8场。

莱斯特城在历年的揭幕战中有非常好的记录。狐狸队在过去14场这样的比赛中赢了9场。另一方面，富勒姆在一月份的英超客场比赛中战绩糟糕，他们在过去23场比赛中输掉了16场。

我非常仔细地看了上一轮的两支球队，我很享受我在莱斯特城对阵利物浦的比赛，尽管他们输了(1:2)。莱斯特城能够创造危险的得分机会，他们因两个意外的乌龙球而两度失球。当然，球队有很大的动力在主场观众面前反弹，他们有所有必要的工具，因为良好的水平在那里。它必须最终转化为好的结果。富勒姆在主场2:1战胜了糟糕的南安普顿，但这并不是令人信服的表现，因为他们在那场比赛中只有8次射门。富勒姆的防守阵型在路上很有漏洞，我可以想象今天莱斯特城有很多机会。富勒姆在8场客场比赛中丢了13球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢15.93球。

我认为莱斯特城今天有60%的机会获胜，所以在我看来这是一个非常有价值的赌注。