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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! 苏超基尔马诺克VS圣米伦

2023-01-02

比赛分析

苏超

已完赛

星期一2023-01-02 23:00

解读理由

Kilmarnock VS Saint Mirren

Kilmarnock welcome St. Mirren for this Scottish Premiership round 20 clash at Rugby Park late Monday evening Beijing time. However, in reality St. Mirren have played 17 games and the hosts 19 games. The biggest, normally pretty sharp bookmakers that offer the biggest stake limits see the hosts as narrow favorites here. I see them as more clear favorites with today's expected lineups. St. Mirren will be without Greive for personal reasons, O'Hara for a previous red card and Tait due to an injury. Ayunga's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview Monday evening Beijing time. Kilmarnock will be without injured Cameron, Dorsett and Lafferty (inactive). Alrbiosu's situation is unclear. Kilmarnock were excellent in their. Kilmarnock have not done well on the road but at home they have played very well for a long time already. Indeed, They have lost just one of the latest eight games at Rugby Park. This defeat happened on the 4th of November 2022 against Livingston. It was a very balanced game that could have gone either way. The hosts were excellent in their most recent game beating Aberdeen 2-1 in front of loud and loyal fans! The home crowd offers a massive boost to Kilmarnock and I am not sure of the betting market fully recognizes this.. Let's not forget that Aberdeen are a dangerous team who are currently in the 4th place in the standings. Even so. Kiilmarnock fully deserved the win. Yes, Aberdeen did have 61% ball possession but the hosts let the control the ball for long periods of time - mainly relying on counter attacks. Kilmarnock were clear underdogs in this clash - priced over 3.00 to win by the bookmakers, They did, however, record many more goal attempts (17-9) , shots on goal as well as dangerous attacks – 45-29. Aberdeen did create more attacks though. I was positively surprised by their surely confidence-boosting performance!

Moreover, before the Aberdeen match the hosts showed awesome fighting spirit away from home against Motherwell coming back from 0-2 in the second half - playing with 10 men after A. Power was sent off in the 68th minute. They were priced around 4.00 to win this clash so we must respect their comeback and the point they earned. St. Mirren have lost four of their latest five games away from home. I was not happy with their most recent performance - despite earning a point away from home against Livingston. The hosts' S. Pittman was sent off in the 24th minute but St. Mirren were lame offensively with the one man advantage.. In the 55th minute their player O'Hara received a red card though. In the end Livingston recorded 53% ball possession and more total passes, completed passes and dangerous attacks. Both teams had the same number of attacks and shots on goal – St. Mirren did create more goal attempts though. Before this they beat Aberdeen. It was a fine 3-1 home win and they even missed two penalties. Aberdeen's A. Stewart did receive a red card in the 35th minute though. Indeed, at their stadium they look confident but away from home they have been shy and shaky in defense in most games. Indeed, they have allowed 14 goals in their most recent five games on the road.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

基尔马诺克VS圣米伦

北京时间周一晚间,基尔马诺克欢迎圣米伦队参加苏格兰超级联赛第20轮在橄榄球公园的比赛。然而,在现实中,圣米伦踢了17场比赛,东道主踢了19场。通常相当精明的最大博彩公司开出了最高的赌注上限,他们认为东道主的胜算很小。从今天的阵容来看,我认为他们更受欢迎。圣米伦因为个人原因将没有格里夫,奥哈拉因为之前的红牌,泰特因为受伤。在北京时间周一晚上撰写这篇预告时,阿云加的情况尚不清楚。基尔马诺克将没有受伤的卡梅伦,多塞特和拉弗蒂(不活动)。阿尔比苏的情况尚不清楚。基尔马诺克人在他们的。基尔马诺克在客场表现不佳,但在主场他们已经踢得很好很长时间了。事实上,他们在橄榄球公园最近的八场比赛中只输了一场。这场失利发生在2022年11月4日对阵利文斯顿的比赛中。这是一场非常平衡的比赛,本来可以朝着任何方向发展。东道主在最近的一场比赛中表现出色,在大声而忠实的球迷面前2-1击败了阿伯丁!主场观众为基尔马诺克提供了巨大的推动,我不确定博彩市场是否充分认识到这一点。我们不要忘记阿伯丁是一支危险的球队,目前排名第四。即便如此。基尔马诺克完全配得上这场胜利。是的,阿伯丁确实有61%的控球率,但主队在很长一段时间内都控制住了球——主要依靠反击。基尔马诺克队在这场比赛中明显处于下风——博彩公司开出的赢球价格超过3英镑。然而,他们确实有更多的进球尝试(17-9),射正以及危险的进攻(45-29)。不过,阿伯丁确实制造了更多的袭击。他们的表现让我信心大增,这让我非常惊讶!

此外,在与阿伯丁的比赛之前,东道主在客场对阵马瑟韦尔的比赛中表现出了令人生畏的战斗精神,他们在下半场0-2的情况下扳回一局——在第68分钟鲍尔被罚下后,他们打了10人。他们赢得这场比赛的价格是4.00左右,所以我们必须尊重他们的复出和他们赢得的积分。圣米伦在最近的五场客场比赛中输掉了四场。我对他们最近的表现并不满意——尽管他们在客场对利文斯顿的比赛中拿到了一分。主队皮特曼在第24分钟被罚下,但圣米伦队在一人优势的情况下进攻很糟糕。第55分钟,他们的球员奥哈拉吃到红牌。最后,利文斯顿记录了53%的控球率,更多的总传球,完成传球和危险进攻。两支球队的进攻和射门次数相同,不过圣米伦确实创造了更多的射门机会。在此之前,他们打败了阿伯丁。这是一场漂亮的主场3-1胜利,他们甚至罚丢了两个点球。阿伯丁的斯图尔特在第35分钟吃到红牌。事实上,在他们的球场上,他们看起来很自信,但在客场,他们在大多数比赛中的防守都很害羞和不稳定。事实上,在最近的5场客场比赛中,他们已经丢了14个球。


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