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Value pick in Germany 弗莱堡vs柏林赫塔

2020-12-20

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期日2020-12-20 22:30

解读理由

Freiburg's had a very easy couple of rounds facing the likes of Schalke and Arminia Bielefeld. Games against relegation bound opponents allowed them to take maximum points and climb many spots up the table. Without taking anything away from Freiburg, their actual potential for this season remains low and, as usual, they don't target anything but a comfortable mid-table finish.

In fact, triumphant last week brought Freiburg's 2nd and 3rd wins of the season. Their home record remains really modest - just an odd victory to date - against Arminia. So holding them favorites against the likes of Hertha is rather bold from the bookmakers' point of view.

Hertha has generally found it more comfortable this season playing on the road, than at home. Partly the reason for that is their poorly tuned possession football, so when the likes of Mainz come along, it becomes more challenging for them to break down the opposition and score goals. Away from home, however, with the provided space, Lukebakio/Piatek/Cunha feel significantly better.

The team news for both teams are neutral with best possible lineups expected. Freiburg is welcoming back a few people from COVID-19 breaks, while Hertha is set to count on the big signing from Lyon - Tousart. Given the other prolific puchase French U21 international Guendouzi has been on the uprise recently, we could see the team improve its' gameplay in the coming weeks.

Earlier in the season Hertha constantly had 3 or 4 players out for various reasons.

Considering the Berlin club took 5 points from their last 3 league games, including draws against high flying Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Gladbach, the chances of this streak being stretched in Freiburg are looking high to me.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

弗莱堡在两轮比赛中轻松战胜了沙尔克和比勒费尔德。在对抗降级对手的比赛中,他们可以拿到最多的分数,并在积分榜上攀升很多位。在没有从弗莱堡获得任何东西的情况下,他们在这个赛季的实际潜力仍然很低,像往常一样,他们的目标不是什么,而是舒适的中游位置。

事实上,上周的胜利为弗莱堡带来了本赛季的第二场和第三场胜利。他们的主场战绩仍然很温和——只是到目前为止对阿尔米尼亚的一场奇怪的胜利。所以从博彩公司的角度来看,让他们比赫塔这样的人更受青睐是相当大胆的。

赫塔发现这个赛季在客场比在主场更舒服。部分原因是他们的控球能力很差,所以当美因茨这样的球队出现时,他们要突破对手并进球就变得更有挑战性。然而,在远离家乡的地方,有了提供的空间,Lukebakio/Piatek/Cunha感觉好多了。

两支球队的球队新闻都是中立的,预计会有最好的阵容。弗莱堡正在欢迎一些从新冠肺炎爆发中回来的球员,而赫塔则期待着从里昂-图萨特签下的大单。考虑到另一位多产的法国U21国脚Guendouzi最近的表现,我们可以看到球队在未来几周内会改善它的玩法。

赛季早些时候,赫塔因为各种原因一直有3到4名球员缺阵。

考虑到柏林俱乐部在最近的3场联赛中拿到了5分,包括与高水平的勒沃库森和格拉德巴赫的平局,我认为客场抢分的可能性很大。

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