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足球分析师
葡萄牙人,全职从事体育行业多年,被誉为全世界掌握巴西足球信息最多的人。
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High confidence!! 7 in a row!!

2021-03-10

比赛分析

解放者杯

已完赛

星期四2021-03-11 08:30

解读理由

Grêmio -2 is the big bet this Wednesday, we cannot waste this opportunity. I will give some reasons.

1st Reason: Physical terms. This 2021 season is going to be very different than usual. Grêmio ended the 2020 season on Sunday and will begin 2021 this Wednesday. In the short term this will be good, the team is playing well, they are physically well and I believe they will only be physically ill there for May / June. So they will have some physical advantage against this Peruvian team that hasn't played a game this season yet. The last game Ayacucho played was on December 12th. That is, there are 3 months without playing an official game. Physically it is impossible to be in the best condition.

2nd Reason: Quality. The difference between them is absurd, Grêmio is one of the biggest teams in Brazil, they just played the final of the Brazil Cup. The Peruvian teams, together with the Bolivians, are the weakest in South America. When playing at home at altitude, they still manage to balance the games, but playing away in Brazil the games always end with a big goal difference. In addition, Ayacucho isn't one of the best Peruvian teams, they last year surprised and managed to reach the semifinals of the championship. If the strongest Peruvian teams already feel many difficulties, they who are a banal Peruvian team will be more difficulties.

3rd reason: Must win. The second leg is going to be in Quito. There are 2850 meters of altitude. Brazilian teams have a lot of difficulties playing at altitude and here Ayacucho will have a lot of advantage. So it is very important for Grêmio to resolve the tie in this game. It would be a scandal for Gremio to be eliminated, so going with just one goal difference to the second leg is unthinkable. They will already look for a 3-0 or 4-0.

Grêmio is much better physically, technically there is no comparison and the msut win is at its maximum.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Grêmio -2是本周三最好的比赛,我们不能浪费这个机会。我会给出一些理由。

第一个原因:物理条件。2021年的季节将与以往大不相同。Grêmio于周日结束2020赛季,将于本周三开始2021赛季。在短期内这将是好的,球队踢得很好,他们的身体状况也很好,我相信他们的身体状况只会在5 / 6月份出现问题。所以他们在对抗这支本赛季还没打过一场比赛的秘鲁队时会有一些身体上的优势。阿亚库乔的最后一场比赛是在12月12日。也就是说,有3个月没有玩官方游戏。身体上不可能保持最佳状态。

原因2:实力。他们之间的区别是相当大的,Grêmio是巴西最大的球队之一,他们刚刚打完了巴西杯的决赛。秘鲁队和玻利维亚队是南美洲最弱的队伍。当在高海拔的主场比赛时,他们仍然设法平衡比赛,但在巴西的客场比赛中,比赛总是以巨大的进球差结束。此外,阿亚库乔并不是秘鲁最好的球队之一,他们去年出人意料地进入了半决赛。如果最强的秘鲁队已经感到很多困难,那么平庸的秘鲁队将会遇到更多的困难。

第三个理由:一定要赢。第二回合比赛将在基多举行。海拔2850米。巴西球队在高海拔地区比赛有很多困难,而阿亚库乔在这里会有很多优势。因此,解决这场比赛中的平局对Grêmio来说是非常重要的。对于格雷米奥来说,被淘汰将是一个丑闻,所以在第二回合比赛中只差一个进球是不可想象的。

预测比分3:0或4:0。

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