Brighton VS Arsenal

Brighton welcome Arsenal for this English Premier League round 18 clash at Amex Stadium early Sunday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played just 15 matches in the best league.. Football fans can expect a high-level battle here between two very good teams. In a way I do understand the odds offered by the biggest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the largest stake limits here. Odds on Arsenal to travel back to London with all three points are around 2.05. The main rationale behind the odds must be the league table.. Arsenal, of course, also get much more media attention and have more fans, many of whom most probably also bet on them regularly– this affects the odds. Arsenal, very surprisingly, top the standings with 40 points in the bank and a score difference of 36:12. However, they are, of course, not the best team in the Premier League – Man City are. Arsenal have been good – but also extremely lucky in many games this season. The 40 points is 8.56 points more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). I do have them in second place in my power rating but they are only marginally better than Newcastle, Tottenham, Man United, Liverpool and Chelsea. Let's not forget that last season they failed to make the top-4 – again! They did buy Gabriel Jesus from Man City and he has been excellent and has really raised Arsenal's offense – and the club as a whole - to another level. However, has a nasty knee injury and is out for months. This is a gigantic blow for Arsenal and I believe the betting market does not fully recognize this.. They did deserve the win they took five days ago at home over disappointing West Ham who are in the 17th place. Arsenal were priced around 1.55 to win on the betting marke.t. The final score does flatter them as they recorded 1.77 in xG – West Ham's number was 1.12. Before this they lost to Italian Juventus 0-2.Arsenal did, however, beat French Lyon and Italian AC Milan 2-1 but lost to Watford in friendlies during the World Cup break. 

Brighton took a fine win in their most recent match beating Southampton 3-1 away from home. The visitors recorded 66% ball possession and many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had four shots on goal but Southampton recorded more scoring attempts though. Southampton are the rock-bottom team in the standings but are still not the worst team in this league.. Let's also remember that Brighton beat Arsenal 3-1 in London in an EFL Cup clash last month! On the 29th of October they dominated Chelsea, the Champions League winners in 2021, – especially in the first half winning 4-1 as underdogs! What a stunning show of offensive force and hunger to entertain the loud and loyal home fans. The crowd is a big boost for the hosts here. Arsenal do have an edge in all areas of the game but they have a 60% chance to avoid losing - and bring my fans and me even more profit betting on this great league! They lost some key players after last season and a coach to Chelsea in the middle of this season(!) but have still been very strong, recording 24 points and a score difference of 26:20. Their xPTS is much higher – 27.98! The bookies should stop under-estimating this solid team without any true  super stars. They play great as a team and according to my sources have an excellent team spirit! They also have a talented coach, Italian Roberto De Zerbi,43, who is often under-rated in the football media.. Lastly i want to say a few words about the absentees:  Argentina's World Cup hero A. Mac Allister is not expected to return until the New Year. De Zerbi has also ruled A.Webster out of contention. Furthermore, J. Moder is a long-term absentee. Ex-Arsenal striker D. Welbeck's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview Friday morning Beijing time.. As for the visitors, in addition to Gabriel Jesus, Reiss Nelson is out due to a thigh injury. E.Smith Rowe has gone through a groin surgery and might play but is expected to be far from his best..The injury-plagued Japanese centre-back/ full-back T. Tomiyasu's situation is unclear..

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布莱顿VS阿森纳

北京时间周日凌晨，英超第18轮的比赛将在美国运通球场举行，布莱顿欢迎阿森纳。然而，实际上这两支球队都只在最好的联赛中踢过15场比赛。球迷们可以期待两支强队在这里进行一场高水平的比赛。在某种程度上，我确实理解最大的、通常相当精明的博彩公司提供的赔率，他们在这里有最大的赌注限制。阿森纳带着三分回到伦敦的赔率约为2.05。赔率背后的主要理由肯定是排行榜。当然，阿森纳也得到了更多的媒体关注，拥有更多的球迷，其中许多人可能也经常在他们身上下注——这影响了赔率。令人惊讶的是，阿森纳以40分的积分榜第一，比分差距为36:12。然而，他们当然不是英超最好的球队——曼城才是。阿森纳在本赛季的许多比赛中表现不错，但也非常幸运。40分比他们应该得到的预期分数(xPTS)高出8.56分。在我的权力评级中，他们确实排在第二位，但他们只比纽卡斯尔、热刺、曼联、利物浦和切尔西好一点点。让我们不要忘记上赛季他们又一次未能进入前四!他们确实从曼城买了加布里埃尔·热苏斯，他表现出色，真的把阿森纳的进攻——以及整个俱乐部——提升到了另一个水平。然而，他膝伤严重，已经缺阵数月。这对阿森纳来说是一个巨大的打击，我相信博彩市场并没有完全意识到这一点。五天前，他们在主场击败了排名第17位的西汉姆联队，这是他们应得的胜利。在博彩市场上，阿森纳队获胜的定价在1.55英镑左右。最终的比分确实让他们满意，他们在xG中获得了1.77，而西汉姆联的数字是1.12。在此之前，他们0-2输给了意大利尤文图斯。然而，阿森纳确实以2-1击败了法国里昂和意大利AC米兰，但在世界杯间歇期的友谊赛中输给了沃特福德。

布莱顿在最近的一场比赛中客场3-1击败南安普顿，取得了一场漂亮的胜利。客队记录了66%的控球率和更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。两支球队都有4次射门，但南安普顿的射门次数更多。南安普顿是积分榜垫底的球队，但仍不是联赛中最差的球队。让我们也记住，布莱顿在上个月的EFL杯比赛中3-1击败了阿森纳!10月29日，他们统治了2021年欧冠冠军切尔西，尤其是在上半场以4-1的比分击败了不被看好的切尔西!这是一场多么令人惊叹的进攻力量和饥渴的表演，取悦了喧闹和忠诚的主场球迷。这里的观众对东道主来说是一个巨大的鼓舞。阿森纳确实在比赛的各个方面都有优势，但他们有60%的机会避免输球——这将为我和我的球迷带来更多的利润!上赛季之后，他们失去了一些关键球员，本赛季中期又失去了一名教练(!)，但他们仍然非常强大，拿到了24分，比分差距为26:20。他们的xPTS要高得多——27.98!博彩公司应该停止低估这支没有任何真实情况的坚实队伍。超级明星。他们作为一个团队打得很好，根据我的消息来源，他们有优秀的团队精神!他们还有一位才华横溢的教练，43岁的意大利人罗伯托·德泽尔比，他经常被足球媒体低估。最后，我想对缺席的球员说几句话:阿根廷世界杯英雄a。麦克·艾利斯特预计要到新年才会回归。德·泽尔比也已将韦伯斯特排除在竞争之外。此外,J。莫德是一个长期的缺勤者。前枪手striker  D。北京时间周五早上，维尔贝克的情况还不清楚，至于客队，除了加布里埃尔-热苏斯，莱斯-尼尔森也因为大腿受伤而缺席比赛。史密斯·罗威刚刚做完腹股沟手术，可能会参加比赛，但预计与他的最佳状态还相去甚远。富康的情况还不清楚。