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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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6/6 latest WON on this league! $$$ 英超富勒姆VS南安普敦

2022-12-31

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2022-12-31 23:00

解读理由

Fulham VS Southampton

Fulham welcome Southampton for this English Premier League round 18 clash at Craven Cottage in London. However, in reality both teams have played just 16 matches in the best league in the world. I struggle to understand the odds offered by the biggest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the largest stake limits here. Odds on Fulham to win are around 2.00 but I see them having a 57% chance of sending the visitors back to southern England without points. Nothing really speaks for Southampton here! They are the rock-bottom team in the standings with just 12 points to their account. Well, their offense is not totally useless as they have netted the ball 14 times. However, they have allowed 30 goals! Their defense has been a total mess! It lacks structure and the defenders often make silly mistakes. Many of them are clearly not skilled-enough for this level.. The midfielders should also take part in defending more actively.. I expect Southampton to be relegated to Championship for the next season. However, in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class they are in the 19th place – Nottingham are slightly worse in my view. They have now allowed 10 goals in their latest three games in this league! In their most recent match they lost 1-3 at home to Brighton after another shaky defensive performance. The visitors recorded 66% ball possession and many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had four shots on goal but Southampton recorded more scoring attempts. They have now lost four games in a row in The Premier League and took their latest win in October 1-0 away from home over Bournemouth. Even in this matchs they had some luck on their side. Before the Brighton game they took a somewhat crappy 2-1 win at home over Lincoln in an EFL cup battle priced around 1.20 to win by the bookies.. Yes, they were the better team but far from convincing.

Fulham were excellent in their most recent game crushing Crystal Palace 3-0 away from home! I still want to mention that Palace were weaker than normally in this match and only recorded 0.39 in expected goals – Fulham's number was 2.87 and I was stunned by the way they performed – once again! They are currently in the 11th place with 22 points and a score difference of 27:26. However, they are in the 11th place in my power rating.. The statistics against Palace illustrate the events on the pitch well – the hosts were sleepy, lazy and disorganized.. However, I still want to praise Fulham who gave the hosts no true chance at all! Quite Amazingly Fulham recorded 11 shots on goal – Palace had none! Furthermore, the visitors created 23 scoring chances – Palace's number was four and the Fulham had close to 65% ball possession. Players to watch:closely include, of course, especially Aleksandar Mitrović who has scored 31 of Fulham’s 82 league goals in 2022 - including ten goals in this league. Last season Fulham played in the Championship. James Ward Prowse has recorded goal contributions in three of his most recent four appearances - two goals and an assist. Mitrovic was indeed excellent against Crystal Palace.Having set up goals for Reid and the captain Ream Mitrovic later netted his10th Premier League goal this season!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

富勒姆VS南安普顿

富勒姆欢迎南安普顿参加英超第18轮在伦敦克拉文小屋举行的比赛。然而,事实上,两支球队都只在世界上最好的联赛中踢过16场比赛。我很难理解最大的、通常相当精明的博彩公司所提供的赔率。富勒姆获胜的赔率约为2.00,但我认为他们有57%的几率将客队送回英格兰南部。这里没有什么能代表南安普顿!他们是积分榜上垫底的球队,只有12分。嗯,他们的进攻并不是完全无用的,因为他们已经有14次得分了。然而,他们已经失球30个了!他们的防守一塌糊涂!它缺乏结构,后卫经常犯愚蠢的错误。他们中的许多人显然没有足够的技能来达到这个水平。中场球员也应该更积极地参与防守。我预计南安普顿下赛季将降级为英冠联赛。然而,在我的实力评分中,这反映了球队的纯粹等级,他们排在第19位——诺丁汉在我看来稍微差一些。在最近的三场联赛中,他们已经丢了10个球!在最近的一场比赛中,由于防守表现不佳,他们在主场1-3输给了布莱顿。客队记录了66%的控球率和更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。两支球队都有4次射门,但南安普顿的射门次数更多。他们已经在英超联赛中连输四场,最近一次是在10月主场1-0战胜伯恩茅斯。即使在这场比赛中,他们也有一些运气在他们这一边。在与布莱顿的比赛之前,他们在主场2-1击败了林肯,这是一场有点蹩脚的EFL杯比赛。是的,他们是更好的球队,但远不能令人信服。

富勒姆在最近的一场比赛中表现出色,他们在客场3-0击败了水晶宫!我仍然想说的是,在这场比赛中,宫殿比正常情况下更弱,只有0.39个预期进球数,富勒姆的数字是2.87个,我被他们的表现震惊了——再一次!目前,他们以22分排在第11位,比分差距为27:26。然而,他们在我的功率评级中排名第11位。对阵皇宫的数据很好地说明了球场上的情况——主队昏昏欲睡,懒惰而且没有组织。然而,我仍然要赞扬富勒姆,他们没有给东道主任何真正的机会!令人惊讶的是富勒姆有11次射门,而皇宫没有!此外,客队创造了23次得分机会——皇宫有4次,富勒姆有近65%的控球率。值得关注的球员:当然,尤其包括亚历山大·米特罗维奇,他在2022年为富勒姆打进了82个联赛进球中的31个,其中包括本联赛的10个进球。上赛季富勒姆参加了英冠联赛。詹姆斯·沃德·普劳斯在最近的四次出场中有三次有进球贡献——2球1助攻。米特罗维奇在对阵水晶宫的比赛中表现出色。在为里德和队长进球之后,米特罗维奇在本赛季打进了他的第10个英超进球!


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