Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

20/16 in my last Ligue1 matches 🎯🎯🎯

2022-12-29

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期五2022-12-30 02:00

解读理由

In my opinion Reims have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Reims for me is very interesting project. They have very young squad with 30 yo coach on the bench (he didn't lost any of his 5 official matches with the team).

For me Reims is extremely underrated in this game. They didn't lost in 7 of last 8 matches in all competitions against Rennes. I believe they have all required tools to avoid loss also today.

Reims is extremely solid team - they didn't lost in 11 of last 13 league matches. At home they didn't lost in 5 of 7 matches so far. On the other hand Rennes is not strong away team at all - they failed to win in 18 of last 26 matches on the road in Ligue 1.

Rennes today will play without 3 important central midfielders: Majer, Doue and Santa Maria. That should have bad impact on their performance today.

Rennes results looks better than really should. They scored 31 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 5 goals less. They should concede also 4 goals more than they conceded.

Reims scored 16 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 24.2. It's huge difference. They should be able to score also today as they scored at least one goal in last 15 consecutive matches in Ligue1 against Rennes and that should be enough to avoid loss.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来兰斯很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

兰斯对我来说是一个非常有趣的项目。他们有非常年轻的阵容,30岁的教练坐在替补席上(他在球队的5场正式比赛中没有输过任何一场)。

在我看来兰斯在这款游戏中被严重低估了。在过去的8场比赛中,他们有7场没有输过雷恩。我相信他们今天也有避免损失的所有必要工具。

兰斯是一支非常坚固的球队,他们在过去的13场联赛中有11场没有输球。到目前为止,他们在主场的7场比赛中有5场没有输球。另一方面,雷恩根本不是一支强大的客场球队——他们在法甲的过去26场客场比赛中有18场没有赢球。

雷恩今天将没有三名重要的中场:马耶,杜埃和圣玛丽亚。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生不良影响。

雷恩的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。他们进了31个球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该少进5个球。他们的失球也应该比失球多4个。

兰斯打进16球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该打进24.2球。这是巨大的差异。他们今天应该也能进球,因为他们在过去连续15场对阵雷恩的法甲比赛中至少进了一个球,这应该足以避免输球。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。