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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Spain?

2022-12-29

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期五2022-12-30 02:15

解读理由

Betis VS Athletic Bilbao

Betis welcome Athletico Bilbao for this Spanish LaLiga round 15 clash at Estadio Benito Villamarín in Sevilla early Friday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have every reason to expect a good-level match -even by LaLiga's high standards. In my view this is the second-best league on the planet after the English Premier League. The teams are very balanced by raw class with the expected lineups. Real Betis will be missingPaul Akouokou and Juan Cruz on because of injury. Akouokou has a muscular problem. Cruz has a hamstring issue. Edgar Gonzalez is also out (suspended) because of the red card he received against Valencia last time out. German Pezzella is expected to replace him to feature in the middle of the defense. V. Ruiz's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview late Wednesday evening Beijing time.Borja Iglesias is the hosts' best goalscorer in La Liga this season. He has netted the ball eight times and is the player to watch closely here. As for Athletic Bilbao. The coach Valverde could select the same starting eleven that chose against Real Valladolid in their most recent LaLiga game.

Both teams have 24 points to their account but the visitors have a better score difference (24-14) than Betis and are in the 4th place. They have been better than last season when they ended up in the 8th place with 55 points in the pocket and had a score difference of 43:36. However, they have become too ”hot” on the bettingmarket now. This is a bit surprising as they would have deserved 26.12 points in terms of expected points (xPTS). I believe that the hosts' absentees are given too much emphasis by the bookies here..The biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits see the hosts as narrow favorites here but I cannot agree with this! Betis have a 41% chance to win! They have very loyal and loud home fans who massively boost the team.. Indeed, they have been very strong at home winning five and losing just one of the seven matches at their stadium this season in LaLiga! Their score difference is 17:12 an occupy the 6th place in the standings. Last season they finished in 5th place with 65 points and a very good goal difference of 62:40. Without the big injury worries before the World Cup break they would certainly have many more points to their account. They played extremely well in the UEFA Europa League winning the group with 16 points! They grabbed five wins and one draw and allowed just four goals. They even beat a strong Italian team, Roma, away from home 2-1. Let's also remember that Betis' players have a total market value of some 270 million euros according to Transfermarkt.com – about 50 million more than that of Bilbao! Betis also beat Bilbao when the teams last met in March 1-0..

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周五凌晨,贝蒂斯迎战毕尔巴鄂竞技队在塞维利亚贝尼托球场进行西甲第15轮的比赛Villamarín。我的球迷和我有充分的理由期待一场高水平的比赛——即使是按照西甲的高标准。在我看来,这是这个星球上仅次于英超联赛的第二好联赛。这两支球队在原始阵容和预期的阵容上非常平衡。皇家贝蒂斯将因伤缺阵保罗·阿库库和胡安·克鲁兹。Akouokou有肌肉问题。克鲁兹的腿筋有问题。埃德加·冈萨雷斯也因为上次对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中吃到红牌而缺席(停赛)。德国人佩泽拉有望取代他成为中卫。在北京时间周三晚间撰写本文时,鲁伊斯的情况尚不清楚。博尔哈·伊格莱西亚斯是东道主本赛季西甲联赛的最佳射手。他已经8次得分,是这里需要密切关注的球员。至于毕尔巴鄂竞技。主教练巴尔韦德可能会选择与最近对阵巴利亚多利德的比赛相同的首发11人。

两支球队都积24分,但客队的比分差距(24-14)比贝蒂斯大,目前排名第4。他们比上赛季表现更好,上赛季他们以55分的成绩排在第8位,比分差距为43:36。然而,他们现在在博彩市场上变得太“热”了。这有点令人惊讶,因为他们的期望分数(xPTS)应该达到26.12分。我认为这里的博彩公司过于强调东道主的缺席。最大的博彩公司有最大的赌注限制,他们认为东道主的可能性很小,但我不同意这一点!贝蒂斯有41%的胜算!他们有非常忠诚和吵闹的主场球迷,他们极大地推动了球队。事实上,他们在本赛季的西甲联赛中,在主场取得了5胜1负的成绩。他们的比分差为17:12,在积分榜上排名第六。上赛季他们以65分排名第五,净胜球62:40。如果没有世界杯前的大伤担忧,他们肯定会有更多的积分。他们在欧联杯中表现非常出色,以16分小组出线!他们取得了5胜1平,只丢了4球。他们甚至在客场2-1击败了强大的意大利球队罗马队。让我们也记住,根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,贝蒂斯球员的总市值约为2.7亿欧元,比毕尔巴鄂高出5000万欧元!贝蒂斯在3月的最后一次交锋中也以1-0击败了毕尔巴鄂。

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