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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Belgium! 比甲圣图尔登VS瓦雷赫姆

2022-12-28

比赛分析

比甲

已完赛

星期三2022-12-28 03:00

解读理由

Sint-Truidense vs Waregem

Sint-Truidense welcome Waregem for this Belgian Jupiler Pro League round 18 clash at Stayen in Sint-Truiden early Wednesday morning Beijing time. It is easy for everyone who follows this league to name the favorite here! However, I am was surprised to see the the largest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the biggest betting limits to offer odds of arounf 1.70... St. Truiden are clearly the stronger team here – the dirrerence is definitely bigger than the standings would reflect.. Waregem currently occupy the 17th place in the standings in this league with a total of 18 clubs. Their biggest problem has been the very leaky defense. Their defenders are simply not just skilled enough and some of them are also too slow for this level.. They have allowed 40 goals so far in Jupiler Pro League – the highest number in this league with a total of 18 teams.. They should significantly improve in this area of the game if they want to avoid relegation. However, I am afraid they will have to buy new players as they they must topple two teams - otherwise they will play in the Challenger Pro League next season.. They have allowed 10 goals(!) in their most recent three games in this league.. I rate have Waregem in the 17th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class.. This was also their position next season but I am sure their fans, the coach or the manager are very disappointed by the way their season has gone..

On paper the visitors' squad is definitely better than the standings would suggest but they just do not seem to be able to perform well enough as a unit.. According to me sources they also have a quite bad team spirit at the moment.. They do have some offensive power though and I would not be at all surprised to see them score here.. They have netted the ball 23 ball so far but in terms of expected goal (xG) they would have deserved just 20.09 goals. The 23 goals is, quite interestingly, more than Sint-Truidense have scored.. The hosts have, however, defended extremely well this season and have conceded just 19 goals in this league so far! In this area the hosts have a massive edge.. For example Royale Union SG, who currently occupy the second place, have allowed 22 goals. The hosts xG is, however, 20.02. They have a 67% chance of taking all thre epoints here! They easilly beat Waregem 3-0 away from home when the two teams met in September. Sint-Truidense was very clearly better in this clash even taking into account Waregem's Dani Ramorez being sent off already in the first half.. Sint-Truidense recorded 18 scoring attempts – Waregem's number was just four. The visitors also recorded more shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts finished in 9th place last season and I definitely expect them to climb up the standings from the current 11th place. They would have deserved 3.19 more points in terms of expected points (xPTS) than the actual 23.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Sint-Truidense vs Waregem

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北京时间周三凌晨,新特鲁伊登欢迎Waregem参加比利时Jupiler职业联赛第18轮在新特鲁伊登的Stayen比赛。每个关注这个联盟的人都很容易在这里说出最受欢迎的球队!然而,我很惊讶地看到最大的,通常是相当敏锐的博彩公司,最大的投注限制提供1.70左右的赔率……圣特鲁登显然是这里更强的球队,他们的差距肯定比排名所反映的要大。Waregem目前在18支球队中排名第17位。他们最大的问题就是漏洞百出的防守。他们的防守球员技术不够好,有些球员的速度对于这个级别来说太慢了。到目前为止,他们在朱庇勒职业联赛中失球40个,这是该联赛18支球队中失球最多的。如果他们想要保级,他们应该在这方面有显著的提高。然而,我担心他们将不得不购买新球员,因为他们必须击败两支球队,否则他们将在下赛季参加挑战者职业联赛。在最近的三场联赛中,他们已经丢了10个球。在我的实力评分中,Waregem排在第17位,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。这也是他们下赛季的位置,但我相信他们的球迷、教练和经理会对他们这个赛季的表现感到非常失望。

从纸面上看,客队的阵容肯定比积分榜上显示的要好,但他们作为一个整体似乎表现得不够好。据我所知,他们目前的团队精神也很差。他们确实有一些进攻能力,看到他们在这里进球我一点也不惊讶。到目前为止,他们已经进了23个球,但就预期进球数(xG)而言,他们应该只进20.09个球。有趣的是,23个进球比辛-特鲁伊登塞的进球还要多。然而,东道主本赛季的防守非常出色,到目前为止,他们在联赛中只丢了19球!在这方面,东道主有巨大的优势。例如,目前排名第二的皇家联盟已经失球22个。然而,主机xG是20.02。他们有67%的机会得到所有的三分!两队在9月份的比赛中,他们在客场以3-0轻松击败了Waregem。辛特-特鲁伊登塞在这场比赛中表现得非常好,即使考虑到瓦雷吉姆的达尼·拉莫雷兹在上半场已经被罚下。Sint-Truidense有18次得分,而Waregem只有4次。客队也记录了更多的射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。东道主上个赛季排名第9,我绝对希望他们能从目前的第11名爬上来。他们的期望值(xPTS)将比实际的23分多3.19分。


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