Ascoli VS Reggina

Ascoli and Reggina lock horns in this Italian Serie B clash round 19 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca in Ascoli Piceno. We have every reason to hope for a balanced and good-level match by Serie B standards! This is a somewhat low-scoring league on average and the goal expectancy here is low as well despite the rather high number of goals being scored by Reggina so far.. Indeed, they have netted the ball 29 times which is the highest number in this league. They have unarguably been better than probably anyone would have expected overall and especially offensive-wise.. However, we must remember that in terms of expected goals (xG) they would have deserved just 25.12 goals. Reggina's opponents have scored 16 times against them so far in this league. Yes, I have realized that Reggina have improved from last season when they finished in the 14th place with 46 points to their account and had a weak goal difference of 31:49. However, I cannot agree with the biggest, usually sharp bookmakers with the largest betting limits who see the visitors as the favorites here offering the odds of around 2.55 - at least at the time of writing this analysis Sunday evening Beijing time. They have certainly become too hot on the betting market by now.. I would, however, expect the odds on Ascoli to come down as before the kickoff as clever money is expected to pile up on the hosts..

Reggina currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings but I would be quite surprised to see them finish even in the top-4 and qualify for the Promotion Playoffs Semi-finals. Indeed, I rate them as the 6th best team in this league in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. So far they have definitely been better than that but we must remember that several players, especially strikers and midfielders, have played above their normal level.. This will probably not go in for much longer.. Moreover, they have grabbed 33 points which is 3.89 more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). Let's not forget that Ascoli were in the 6th place after the 2021-2022 regular season with 19 more points in the pocket than the visitors! The change for last season has not been massive in terms of pure class.. With today's expected lineups and substantial home advantage Ascoli have a 38% chance to win as Reggina are only marginally better quality-wise. I rate them as the 7th best team in this league. In terms of players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com Reggina have a narrow edge – some 20 million euros versus approximately 18 million reflecting that there is a very small difference between the teams.. Both numbers are more or less correct in my opinion..With the recommended +0.5 goal's handicap my fans and I have a 72% chance to win! Ascoli have taken 25 points and their XPTS is 25.98 but have the potential to improve - in terms of offensive creativity in particular.. Both teams are in mediocre form but Ascoli have lost just one of their most recent five games. They looked sharp and well-organized defensively against Cosenza away from home in their latest match eight days ago (3-1 win) and Genoa at home (0-0) at home on the 11th of this month. Reggina have netted the ball just once in their most recent three mathes and would need to be less predictable offensive if they want to win today.. Ascoli's improving defense is surely better than the number of goals allowed (22) would suggest..

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阿斯科利VS雷吉纳

阿斯科利和雷吉纳在意甲第19轮的比赛中在阿斯科利皮切诺的利略德尔杜卡奇诺球场交锋。我们有充分的理由期待一场以乙级标准来看的平衡和高水平的比赛!这是一个平均得分较低的联赛，尽管雷吉纳到目前为止进球数相当高，但这里的进球期望也很低。事实上，他们已经进了29次球，这是联盟中最多的。毫无疑问，他们的整体表现比任何人预期的都要好，尤其是在进攻方面。然而，我们必须记住，就预期进球数(xG)而言，他们只应该得到25.12个进球。雷吉纳的对手在联赛中已经打进16球。是的，我已经意识到雷吉纳比上赛季有了进步，当时他们积46分排在第14位，净胜球只有31:49。然而，我不同意那些拥有最大投注限额、通常精明的博彩公司的说法，他们认为游客是最受欢迎的，提供了2.55左右的赔率——至少在北京时间周日晚上撰写本文时是这样。到目前为止，他们在博彩市场上确实变得太热门了。然而，我预计阿斯科利的赔率会像开球前一样下降，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在东道主身上。

雷吉纳目前在积分榜上排名第二，但我很惊讶看到他们甚至进入前四，并获得晋级季后赛半决赛的资格。事实上，在我的实力评分中，他们在联盟中排名第六，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。到目前为止，他们确实表现得更好，但我们必须记住，有几名球员，尤其是前锋和中场球员，他们的表现超出了正常水平。这可能不会持续太久。此外，他们获得了33分，这比他们应该得到的预期分数(xPTS)多了3.89分。别忘了，阿斯科利在2021-2022赛季常规赛后排名第六，比客队多出19分!上赛季的变化在级别上并不是很大。凭借今天的阵容和主场优势，阿斯科利有38%的机会赢得比赛，而雷吉纳只是在质量上稍微好一点。我认为他们在联盟中排名第七。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的总市值而言，雷吉纳拥有微弱的优势——大约2000万欧元对大约1800万欧元，这反映出两队之间的差距非常小。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少都是正确的，加上推荐的+0.5的进球障碍，我的球迷和我有72%的机会获胜!阿斯科利已经拿了25分，他们的XPTS是25.98，但是有潜力提高——特别是在进攻创造力方面。两支球队的状态都很一般，但是阿斯科利在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场。八天前在客场对阵科森扎(3-1)和本月11日主场对阵热那亚(0-0)时，他们的防守看起来很犀利，组织得很好。雷吉纳在最近的三场比赛中只进了一次球，如果他们今天想赢球，他们需要更少的进攻。阿斯科利不断提高的防守肯定比被允许进球的数量(22个)要好。