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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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12/9 in my last Premier League matches 英超莱切斯特VS纽卡斯尔

2022-12-26

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期一2022-12-26 23:00

解读理由

In my opinion Newcastle have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Newcastle won 2 of last 3 matches against Leicester. I believe they have all required tools to make another win today.

Newcastle lost last 6 consecutive matches at Boxing Day. It's the worst streak in last 70 years of competition and I really can't imagine continuation today, especially against other poor- perform Boxing Day team. Leicester lost 6 of last 8 matches at Boxing Day.

Guests coming for this game full of confidence as they won last 5 consecutive Premier League matches (in the midweek they won against Bournemouth is Cup). Newcastle looks amazing at both ends of the pitch: the lowest number of goals conceded per game in whole league. According to the expected goals scored model they have third-best offensive formation (only City & Arsenal plays better). In addition to that, Newcastle today will play with very strong line up and we will see on the pitch all their best players in current season like Trippier, Bruno, Almiron or Wilson.

On the other hand Leicester have serious squad problems before today's match up. Their best player in current season (also best scorer and assistant) Maddison is very doubtful, same as key central midfielder Dewsbury-Hall. Key defenders Evans and Justin are unavailable. That should have very bad impact on their performance today. Leicester had a lot of luck so far. They scored 25 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 17.8. It's big difference.

Newcastle is better team with stronger line up on the pitch. That should be enough to make 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,纽卡斯尔有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

纽卡斯尔在最近3场对阵莱斯特城的比赛中赢了2场。我相信他们已经拥有了再次取得胜利所需的一切工具。

纽卡斯尔在节礼日连续输掉了6场比赛。这是过去70年来最糟糕的连胜,我真的无法想象今天还能继续,尤其是面对其他节礼日表现不佳的球队。莱斯特城在节礼日的8场比赛中输掉了6场。

客人们对这场比赛充满信心,因为他们在过去的5场英超比赛中都取得了胜利(在周中他们赢了伯恩茅斯杯)。纽卡斯尔在攻防两端看起来都很惊人:在整个联赛中场均失球数最低。根据预期进球数模型,他们拥有第三好的进攻阵型(仅次于曼城)。阿森纳踢得更好)。除此之外,纽卡斯尔今天的阵容非常强大,我们将在球场上看到他们本赛季最好的球员,比如特里皮尔、布鲁诺、阿尔米隆和威尔逊。

另一方面,莱斯特城在今天的比赛前有严重的阵容问题。他们本赛季最好的球员(同时也是最佳射手和助教)麦迪森很不确定,关键中场杜斯伯里-霍尔也是如此。关键后卫埃文斯和贾斯汀都无法上场。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。莱斯特城到目前为止运气不错。他们进了25个球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该只进17.8球。差别很大。

纽卡斯尔是一支更好的球队,在球场上有更强的阵容。这应该足够说明3点了。


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