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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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12/9 in my last Premier League matches 英超埃弗顿VS狼队

2022-12-26

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期一2022-12-26 23:00

解读理由

In my opinion Wolves have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I believe guests coming for this game without any fear as they won last two matches in a row against Everton. Wolverhampton in previous season won 1:0 against them at Goodison Park. Why not today?

Wolves had poor start of the season, but now after World Cup break is new set of matches. They signed new, high quality manager Julen Lopetegui. He already recorded home win in Cup against team from lower league. For sure morale in team is good and they wants to go with momentum.

Wolverhampton is better team with the ball, in current season they have almost 50% average ball possession. On the other hand only 4 teams in whole league have lower ball possession % than Everton (44.7%).

Also I don't trust for Everton defensive formation. They conceded 17 goals, but they had a lot of luck. According to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 26 goals. It's huge difference at this stage of the season. On the other hand guests should concede 19.9 goals in current season.

Both teams looks similar in attack (not too convincing). Everton have 3.5 shots on target per game (Wolves 3.3). Everton created 18 big chances to score (Wolves 15).

I believe Wolves with Lopetegui on the bench have all required tools to avoid loss in this game. 10 of 11 Spanish managers didn't lost in their Premier League debut. I see continuation of this streak today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,狼队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

我相信前来观看这场比赛的客人们没有任何恐惧,因为他们在过去的两场比赛中都赢了埃弗顿。狼队上赛季在古迪逊公园球场1:0战胜了他们。为什么不是今天?

狼队本赛季开局不佳,但现在世界杯后有了新的比赛。他们签下了高素质的新教练Julen Lopetegui。他已经在杯赛主场战胜了低级别联赛的球队。当然,球队的士气很好,他们想要保持势头。

狼队控球更好,本赛季他们平均控球率接近50%。另一方面,整个联赛中只有4支球队的控球率低于埃弗顿(44.7%)。

我也不相信埃弗顿的防守阵型。他们丢了17个球,但运气很好。根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢26球。在赛季的这个阶段,这是巨大的不同。另一方面,客队本赛季应该丢19.9球。

两支球队的进攻看起来很相似(不太令人信服)。埃弗顿场均有3.5次射正(狼队为3.3次)。埃弗顿创造了18次得分机会(狼队15次)。

我相信有洛佩特吉在替补席上的狼队已经有了避免这场比赛输球的所有必要工具。11位西班牙教练中有10位在他们的英超首秀中没有输球。我认为今天这种趋势还会继续。


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