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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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10/7 in my last Championship matches 🎯 英冠考文垂VS西布罗姆

2022-12-21

比赛分析

英冠

已完赛

星期四2022-12-22 03:45

解读理由

In my opinion WBA have bigger chances to make 3 points in today's match up than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

In previous season WBA won 2:1 on the road against Coventry. They have good mental advantage and why not today?

I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, ambitions and potential. That is extremely visible in league table created by expected goals scored/expected goals conceded. According to that table WBA should be on 4th (!!!) position so 12 places higher than now. On the other hand Coventry should be 4 places below their current 14th position.

After awful start of the season, at the end of October WBA signed new coach Carlos Corberan. He started slow as he lost after close match against strong Sheffield. Since then WBA looks superb - they won 5 consecutive league matches and they are only 5 points behind play off zone. Atmosphere in team is great and players wants to go with momentum today. WBA looks really good at both ends of the pitch - in last 5 matches only once they had expected goals conceded number above 0.79. On the other hand they scored more than one goal in last 3 league matches in a row.

Coventry have huge problems with creativity - only 4 teams in whole league scored less goals than hosts. Also only one team in whole league created less big chances to score than Coventry. Hosts today without third-best scorer Hidden (3 goals) I can imagine clean sheet for WBA today. Coventry in last game looked horrible at the back - they conceded 3 goals at home against Swansea and that was fair outcome (2.74 expected goals conceded). Today they are without key defender McFadzen (18 matches).

I believe WBA have all required tools to score more than one goal also today and that should be enough to make 3 points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,WBA在今天的比赛中得到3分的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

在上个赛季WBA客场2:1战胜了考文垂。他们有很好的心理优势,为什么今天不呢?

我认为这两支球队在实力、野心和潜力方面有很大的不同。这在根据预期进球数/预期失球数创建的排名表中非常明显。根据该表,WBA应该排在第4位(!!),比现在高12位。另一方面,考文垂的排名应该比目前的第14位低4位。

在经历了糟糕的赛季开始后,WBA在10月底签下了新教练卡洛斯·科伯兰。他在与强大的谢菲尔德势均力敌的比赛中失利,开局缓慢。从那以后,WBA看起来很出色——他们赢得了5场联赛的连胜,他们只落后于禁区5分。球队的气氛很好,球员们今天想要保持势头。WBA在攻防两端看起来都很不错——在最近5场比赛中,只有一场他们的预期失球数超过了0.79。另一方面,他们在最近3场联赛中连续进球超过1球。

考文垂在创造力上有很大的问题——整个联赛中只有4支球队的进球数比东道主少。在整个联赛中,只有一支球队创造的得分机会比考文垂少。隐藏(3球)我可以想象今天WBA没有失球。考文垂在上一场比赛的后场表现很糟糕——他们在主场对斯旺西丢了3球,这是一个公平的结果(丢了2.74个预期进球)。今天他们缺少了关键后卫麦克法岑(18场比赛)。

我相信WBA今天也有所有必要的工具来进一个以上的球,这应该足以得到3分。


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