In my opinion Mariners have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Both teams played each other at this stadium just 10 days ago and Newcastle won here 2:1, but I still trust Mariners. They are simply much better team.

After that loss against Newcastle, Mariners bounced back on good track and won against Sydney 2:1. For sure that was good boost of confidence and team wants to go with momentum. Mariners don't have any problems with goalscoring - they scored at least one goal in last 15 consecutive league matches. In current season only one team in whole league scored more goals than Mariners. They have many dangerous players upfront like Kuol, Ruhs or Cummings. They should be able to make big troubles for poor Newcastle defensive formation.

Guests conceded at least one goal in 14 of last 15 league matches. After win against Mariners, they played bad at home against Brisbane and recorded fully deserved 0:1 loss (expected goals scored for Newcastle 0.45, for Brisbane 1.69). Newcastle have huge problems with creativity - they scored 8 goals in 7 matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 5.9. On the other hand Mariners are more solid at the back than results shows. Hosts conceded 12 goals so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 8.1. It's big difference.

Mariners won 10 of last 18 home matches, Newcastle lost 10 of last 16 away matches so I really see great opportunity for hosts to make quick revenge.

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在我看来，水手队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

这两支球队10天前在这个球场进行过比赛，纽卡斯尔在这里2:1获胜，但我仍然信任水手队。他们是更好的团队。

在输给纽卡斯尔之后，水手队重新回到正轨，并以2:1战胜悉尼队。当然，这是很好的信心的提升，球队想要保持势头。水手队在进球方面没有任何问题——他们在过去连续15场联赛中至少进了一个球。本赛季在整个联赛中只有一支球队的进球数超过水手队。他们前场有很多危险球员，比如库尔、鲁斯和卡明斯。他们应该能够给纽卡斯尔糟糕的防守阵型制造大麻烦。

在过去的15场联赛中，客队有14场至少丢了一个球。在战胜水手队后，他们在主场对阵布里斯班的比赛中表现糟糕，以0:1的比分输掉了比赛(纽卡斯尔的预期进球数为0.45，布里斯班的预期进球数为1.69)。纽卡斯尔在创造力方面存在巨大的问题——到目前为止，他们在7场比赛中进了8球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进5.9球。另一方面，水手队的后防线比结果显示的更加稳固。东道主到目前为止丢了12个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢8.1个球。差别很大。

水手队在过去的18场主场比赛中赢了10场，纽卡斯尔在过去的16场客场比赛中输了10场，所以我真的看到了东道主快速复仇的大好机会。