Tapio头像
外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    方案

  • 17

    粉丝

A lucrative match in Israel! 以超海马卡比VS萨克宁

2022-12-20

比赛分析

以超

已完赛

星期二2022-12-20 02:30

解读理由

Maccabi Haifa VS Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin FC

Maccabi Haifa welcome Sakhnin for this Ligat Ha'al round 14 clash at Sammy Ofer Stadium in Haifa. This situation ahead of this game is very clear – the hosts are massive favorites. With today's expected lineups I see them having an even bigger chance to wi than the biggest, usually quite sharp bookmakers with the largest betting limits. I do not often recommend a bet on a heavy favorite with a -1.5 goals' handicap – not to mention with a bigger handicap – but will make an exception here. My fans and I need the hosts to win by at least two goals' difference. The chance is over 70%. Sakhin are not a bad team by pure class but cannot match the hosts in any area of the game. Even in terms of defensive quality the difference is big in Maccabi Haifa's favor despite the fact that the hosts have allowed 13 goals - the visitors' number of conceded goals is 15. However, in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they should have conceded 19.21 goals. Their offense has been even more limited than I would have estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis. They have netted the ball just 12 times so far in Ligat Ha'al. This is the lowest number - together with three other clubs – in this league with a total of 14 teams. The chance of them not scoring here is around 60%. .

The visitors did take a win in their most recent match though over Hapoel Qalansawe 3-0 away from home. It was a State Cup match and they were priced around 1.20 to win on the betting market against a very lowly opponent. I did not have a chance to watch this match but according to reports they were not overly convincing on the pitch.. They have been in poor form for quite a long time – much worse than early season.. They betting market still seems to respect them quite a bit – perhaps because of their decent position in the standings - 8th with 15 points on the bank. They took their latest win in Ligat Ha'al on the 8th of October away from home over Hapoel Jerusalem 2-1 and had some luck on their side.. After that they have lost most of their matches. The teams already met on the 8th of this month in a Toto Cup match for the 5th place and Maccabi Haifa were much better winning 4-1- Sakhnin only recorded one shot on goal on this match – the hosts' number was six. Haifa currently top the standings with 33 points and have won 11/13 matches! At home in front of loud fans they have won all six game and even beat Juventus in the Champions League 2-0 some time ago! They did not qualify for the Play Offs - or even for UEFA Europa League - but proved that they are a dangerous team and light-years better than the visitors by pure class.. The other teams in this group - Benfica and especially PSG with Messi, Neymar and Mbappe were simply too strong.. Nevertheless, I expect Maccabi Haifa to become champions of Israel once again at the end of the season!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马卡比海法VS哈普尔沙克宁

海法马卡比在海法萨米奥弗球场欢迎萨赫宁参加这场西甲联赛第14轮的比赛。在这场比赛之前的情况是非常明显的——主队是最受欢迎的。根据今天的预期阵容,我认为他们比最大的、通常相当精明、投注限额最大的博彩公司有更大的机会获胜。我通常不建议在一个有-1.5个进球障碍的大热门上下注——更不用说有更大的障碍了——但这里例外。我的球迷和我都希望东道主能以至少两球的差距获胜。几率超过70%从级别上看,萨钦并不是一支糟糕的球队,但在比赛的任何方面都比不上东道主。即使就防守质量而言,海法马卡比的优势也很大,尽管东道主已经丢了13个球,而客队的失球数是15个。然而,就预期失球(xGA)而言,他们应该丢19.21球。他们的进攻比我在季前赛深度分析中估计的还要有限。到目前为止,他们在Ligat Ha'al只进了12次球。这是最低的数字,加上其他三家俱乐部,在这个联赛总共有14支球队。他们不得分的几率在60%左右。

客队在最近的一场比赛中以3-0战胜了哈普尔·卡兰萨维。这是一场州杯比赛,他们在博彩市场上以1.20英镑左右的价格击败一个非常低的对手。我没有机会观看这场比赛,但据报道,他们在球场上的表现并不令人信服。他们的糟糕状态已经持续了很长一段时间了——比赛季初糟糕多了。他们的博彩市场似乎仍然相当尊重他们-也许是因为他们在积分榜上的体面位置-第8位,在银行上有15分。他们在10月8日的Ligat Ha'al客场2-1战胜了耶路撒冷Hapoel,他们的运气不错。在那之后,他们输掉了大部分比赛。这两支球队已经在本月8日的托托杯比赛中相遇,争夺第五名,马卡比海法4-1获胜,表现要好得多——萨赫宁在这场比赛中只射进了一次球——东道主的射门数是6次。海法目前以33分排名第一,并赢得了11/13场比赛!在主场,在喧闹的球迷面前,他们赢得了所有的六场比赛,甚至在不久前的欧冠比赛中2-0击败了尤文图斯!他们没有资格参加附加赛,甚至没有资格参加欧联杯,但他们证明了他们是一支危险的球队,而且在级别上比客队要好得多。这个小组的其他球队——本菲卡,尤其是拥有梅西、内马尔和姆巴佩的巴黎圣日耳曼,他们太强大了。尽管如此,我还是希望海法马卡比能在赛季结束后再次成为以色列的冠军!


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。