Ricards头像
外籍分析师
外籍篮彩职业分析师
  • 18

    方案

  • 7

    粉丝

What Utah will do in Milwaukee? NBA雄鹿VS爵士

2022-12-18

比赛分析

NBA

已完赛

星期日2022-12-18 09:00

解读理由

One of the most interesting games on Saturday night in the NBA is going to happen in Milwaukee between the Bucks and Utah Jazz. Milwaukee has been playing very good lately as they have 20 wins and just 8 losses that gives them the 2nd position in Eastern Conference. The Jazz currently is the 7th best team in the Western Conference with 17 wins and 14 losses. I'm predicting that Utah will cover the handicap.

Although the Bucks are in the 2nd place, they have lost 2 out of the last 3 games. Both were on the road and against Western Conference teams. They weren't able to beat Houston and Memphis but they beat the Warriors on the home floor although the champs are very poor this season on the road. The Jazz played very well at the start of the season but then a longer loosing streak hit them. Now they are back and winning games. Out of the last 8 games, the Jazz have won 5.

Milwaukee is one of the best home teams this season with 13 wins in 16 games. Away from home, the Jazz have just 6 wins in 15 games but some losses were in a tight battles. In Denver they lost just by 5 points, in Phoenix they lost just by 1, in Los Angeles against the Clippers they lost by 7 points, in Philadelphia they lost by 7 and in Dallas they lost by 3. Overall this season, the Jazz have been the 5th best team against the spread in the league. Away from home, they have covered the spread 60% of the time and that is also the 5th best result.

The Bucks are going to be without their leader Giannis Antetokounmpo tonight. That is a huge blow and that's why I'm confident in Utah. Not only Giannis won't play but also Khris Middleton who recently came back after the injury. I don't see who's going to be the scorer for Milwaukee. Without Giannis, Milwaukee has won 3 games but those wins were against the Thunder and Hornets. Those aren't the highest level teams while you can count that Utah will be very motivated to win on the road.

Utah has very deep roster and will miss only Collin Sexton tonight. Per advanced stats, both teams are next to each other as the Bucks are the 7th best team (3.3) and the Jazz are 1 position down (2.4). After wins, the Jazz have covered the spread 63% of the time while Milwaukee only 50%. With both teams having an equal rest, Utah has covered the spread 61% of the time while Milwaukee 55%. In my opinion, it's no brainer that the Jazz will cover the handicap. They have 2 wins in a row against the Pelicans who were dominating the league recently. Without Giannis and Middleton, Milwaukee is very vulnerable.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上NBA最有趣的比赛之一将发生在密尔沃基雄鹿队和犹他爵士队之间。雄鹿最近打得非常好,他们取得了20胜8负的战绩,排名东部第二。爵士目前以17胜14负排名西部第七。我预测犹他将会克服困难。

虽然雄鹿队排名第二,但他们在过去的3场比赛中输了2场。两支球队都在客场,对手都是西部球队。他们没能击败火箭和灰熊,但他们在主场击败了勇士,尽管冠军本赛季在客场表现很差。爵士队在赛季初打得很好,但随后一段较长的连败打击了他们。现在他们回来了,赢下了比赛。在过去的8场比赛中,爵士赢了5场。

雄鹿是本赛季最好的主场球队之一,在16场比赛中赢得了13场胜利。在客场,爵士在15场比赛中只赢了6场,但也有一些输球是在激烈的战斗中。在丹佛他们只输了5分,在菲尼克斯他们只输了1分,在洛杉矶对快船他们输了7分,在费城他们输了7分,在达拉斯他们输了3分。本赛季整体来看,爵士是联盟第5强防守球队。在客场,他们已经覆盖了60%的时间,这也是第五好的结果。

雄鹿今晚将失去他们的领袖扬尼斯·安特托昆博。这是一个巨大的打击,这就是为什么我对犹他州有信心。不仅字母哥不会参加比赛,最近刚刚伤愈复出的米德尔顿也不会参加比赛。我不知道谁会成为雄鹿的得分手。在没有字母哥的情况下,雄鹿已经赢了3场比赛,但这些胜利都是对阵雷霆和黄蜂。他们不是最高水平的球队,而你可以认为犹他爵士将非常有动力在客场取胜。

爵士队的阵容非常强大,今晚只会错过科林·塞克斯顿。根据高级数据,两支球队都是紧挨着对方的,雄鹿是第7强球队(3.3),爵士落后1位(2.4)。赢球后,爵士队有63%的命中率,而雄鹿队只有50%。两支球队都有相同的休息时间,犹他爵士有61%的时间覆盖了差距,而密尔沃基有55%。在我看来,爵士毫无疑问会克服障碍。他们对最近统治联盟的鹈鹕队取得了2连胜。没有字母哥和米德尔顿,雄鹿非常脆弱。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。