If there’s one team who could beat France right now is Argentina.

Argentina has been improving a lot during this competition, and now they are at their best level. The level of the team is amazing, full of confidence and giving their best during the whole match. They have clear leaders and the whole team is working in every single action to achieve the target. And of course, Leo Messi looks unstoppable and looks like he is 20 or 25 years old, with 5 goals and 3 assists so far.

Mentally they are very strong, above France I think. They had to live through very difficult situations like the defeat against Saudi Arabia, last minutes of suffering against Australia, penalties against Netherlands… While France had an “easy” tournament because they have not struggled a lot really in any game (thanks to their high level of course).

Key defender Acuña and Molina (RB and LB) are back and available after suspension in the semi-finals.

On the other hand, France is deservedly here. They have been the best team in the tournament so far, showing a very strong squad with a lot of quality. But they really had “easy” games, only struggling a bit against England (who missed a penalty).

For this match some key players could be out, because the squad is infected by a virus (similar to flu), which left some key players out in the semi finals (Upamecano and Rabiot). For this game they are recovered but I believe they won’t be at 100%, while some other players are doubtful: Theo, Varane, Tchouameni Coman and Konate who did not train yesterday.

France is a team who could struggle in the wings, where Argentina has several weapons to create danger.

The team looks very strong, difficult to beat, with the ability to be dangerous in every single action and without need to dominate the games or have the control. But are some key pieces which must be controlled by Argentina: of course Mbappé and Griezmann. Any team so far has been worried about Griezmann, who has been for me the best french player so far. And I’m sure that Argentina will do, because also Messi knows him very well. If Argentina achieves to block Griezmann, 70% of the game will be controlled.

Furthermore, France conceded chances against Morocco and England. If they concede these chances again against a team with the dangerous upfront that Argentina has, surely will concede some goal.

This is a total 50-50 game for me. But also seeing the mental strength that Argentina has, the amazing level of Leo Messi who surely wants to make history here, and the virus who affected several key players in France, I see Argentina slightly favorite to win the title.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

如果现在有一支球队可以击败法国，那就是阿根廷队。

阿根廷队在这次比赛中进步了很多，现在他们处于最佳水平。球队的水平是惊人的，充满信心，在整场比赛中尽了最大的努力。他们有明确的领导者，整个团队都在为实现目标而努力。当然，里奥·梅西看起来势不可挡，看起来就像20岁或25岁，目前已经有5个进球和3次助攻。

他们在心理上非常强大，我认为他们超过了法国队。他们必须经历非常艰难的情况，比如输给沙特阿拉伯，最后几分钟遭遇澳大利亚，对阵荷兰的点球……而法国队的比赛很“轻松”，因为他们在任何一场比赛中都没有太多的挣扎(当然要感谢他们的高水平)。

关键后卫Acuña和莫利纳(RB和LB)在半决赛停赛后回归。

另一方面，法国是当之无愧的。到目前为止，他们是本届杯赛中表现最好的球队，展示了一支实力雄厚的队伍。但他们的比赛真的很“轻松”，只是在对阵英格兰队的比赛中有点挣扎(英格兰队罚丢了一个点球)。

本场比赛一些关键球员可能会缺席，因为球队感染了病毒(类似于流感)，这使得一些关键球员在半决赛中缺席(乌帕梅卡诺和拉比奥)。在这场比赛中，他们已经恢复了，但我相信他们不会达到100%的状态，而其他一些球员也表示怀疑:特奥、瓦拉内、科曼和昨天没有参加训练的科纳特。

法国队可能会在边路挣扎，而阿根廷有几件武器可以制造危险。

这支球队看起来非常强大，很难被击败，在每一个动作中都有危险的能力，不需要主宰比赛或控制比赛。但是有一些关键的部分必须由阿根廷控制:当然是Mbappé和格列兹曼。到目前为止，任何一支球队都在担心格列兹曼，在我看来，他是迄今为止最好的法国球员。我相信阿根廷队也能做到，因为梅西也非常了解他。如果阿根廷成功阻止格列兹曼，比赛的70%将被控制。

此外，法国队在对阵摩洛哥和英格兰的比赛中都失去了机会。如果他们在面对像阿根廷这样锋线很危险的球队时再次失去这样的机会，肯定会丢球。

这对我来说是五五开的博弈。但同时也看到阿根廷队的精神力量，梅西的惊人水平，他肯定想在这里创造历史，还有在法国影响了几名关键球员的病毒，我认为阿根廷队夺冠的可能性略高。