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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on!

2022-12-16

比赛分析

苏超

已完赛

星期五2022-12-16 04:00

解读理由

Glasgow Rangers VS Hibernian


Hibernian challenge Rangers in this Scottish Premiership round 17 clash at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow early Friday morning Beijing time. There is no doubt about the fact that Rangers are clear favorites here..They do have and edge in all areas of the game. The biggest, usually pretty sharp bookies offer prices of only around 1.33 here but I only see them having 64% chance of winning. However, all my fans I need to win is for the visitors to avoid losing by more than only goals difference. The chance for this is 58%. It has been a disappointing season for Rangers - again but the bookies continue overvaluing them. They do have a good home record but have had luck in many games in front of their loud fans, With Celtic they are the two ”giants” of Scottish football. Anything else than the championship is undoubtedly a disappointment for them! Celtic, the reigning champions, already have 42 points the their account and have s core difference of 50:13. Rangers, on the other hand, have grabbed just 33 points and have netted the ball 33 times and allowed 14 goals. Indeed, their offense has been much worse than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. It would be extremely surprising of Rangers were able to get even close to Celtic during the rest of the season. They will almost certainly finish in the second place. This must be very depressing for them..

They did beat a pretty good German team, Bayer Leverkusen, 3-0 in their most recent game but the result massively flatters them. I do not give friendly matches too much emohasis anyway. Before this they faced St. Mirren in this league and it was a 1-1 draw away from home. Yes, they were the better team but much worse than the betting marker would have expected. They were priced around 1.4r to take all three points. They did have 75% ball possession but the hosts allowed the to keep the ball for long periods of time and concentreted on defense themselves. Ranger only recorded four shots on goal – the hosts recorded three. I was disappointed by their lack of offensive strucure and creaticity. Before this they took a narrow home win over Hearts and in the Champions League they got beaten in many matches.. Hibernians have taken 20 points so far but would have deserved 23.34 points in terms of expected points and will surely defend very hard today and would be happy witht a draw..

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