On Wednesday night, Denver Nuggets will host Washington Wizards. The Nuggets currently are the 3rd best team in the Western Conference with 16 wins and 10 losses while Washington lately has been struggling a lot as they have just 11 wins and 17 losses which gives them just the 12th position in the Eastern Conference. In this game, I'm taking the Nuggets with the handicap.

The Nuggets have won the last 2 games against the Trail Blazers and Jazz. Before that, Denver lost 3 games in a row but two of them were on the road. Before the losing streak, the Nuggets won 4 games in a row. Denver has played at home only 10 games which is the least amount in the league. At the same time, Denver has won 7 times.

The Wizards have lost 7 games in a row but in the last 11 games, they have only 1 win. Washington plays much better at home than away because on the road they have just 3 wins in 13 games. The last time they won on the road was on 8th November when they beat Charlotte. One road victory was in Philadelphia and another was in Indiana. As an away underdog, the Wizards have covered the spread just 4 out of 11 times.

The most important factor why I'm predicting Denver's victory is that Bradley Beal and Kristaps Porzingis won't play today. Kyle Kuzma will take a lot of shots but there's nobody else who could be able to carry the load on offense. As for Denver, only 1 player will be missed and that is Michael Porter Jr. He hasn't played since the end of November and during this time the Nuggets have won 6 out of 9 games.

While playing at home, Denver has the 3rd-best offense (119.4), 13th-best defense (109.8) and 5th-best net rating (9.5). On the road, the Wizards have the 10th-best offense (111.6), just the 19th-best defense (115.2) and the 17th-best net rating (-3.6). Denver at home allows just 107.3 points per game. Once again, I don't see who's going to score for Washington and that's why I'm sure about Denver's victory tonight.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周三晚上，丹佛掘金将主场迎战华盛顿奇才。掘金目前以16胜10负排名西部第三，而奇才最近表现不佳，他们只取得了11胜17负的战绩，仅排在东部第12位。在这场比赛中，我要对付有障碍的掘金。

掘金在过去两场对阵开拓者和爵士的比赛中都取得了胜利。在此之前，掘金连输三场，但其中两场是在客场。在连败之前，掘金取得了4连胜。掘金只在主场打了10场比赛，这在联盟中是最少的。与此同时，掘金也赢了7次。

奇才已经连续输了7场比赛，但在过去的11场比赛中，他们只赢了一场。华盛顿在主场的表现比客场好得多，因为他们在13场比赛中只赢了3场。他们上一次在客场获胜是在11月8日，当时他们击败了夏洛特。一次客场胜利是在费城，另一次是在印第安纳州。作为客场不被看好的球队，奇才在11次比赛中只赢了4次。

我预测掘金胜利的最重要因素是布拉德利·比尔和克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯今天不会上场。凯尔·库兹马会出手很多次，但没有人能在进攻端承担重任。至于掘金，只有一名球员会缺席，那就是小迈克尔·波特。自从11月底以来，他就没有打过比赛，在这段时间里，掘金赢了9场比赛中的6场。

在主场比赛时，掘金拥有第三好的进攻(119.4分)，第13好的防守(109.8分)和第5好的净效率(9.5分)。在客场，奇才的进攻(111.6分)排在第10，防守(115.2分)排在第19，净效率(-3.6分)排在第17。丹佛在主场只能得到107.3分。再一次，我不知道谁会为奇才得分，这就是为什么我对丹佛今晚的胜利充满信心。