Przem头像
外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
  • 773

    方案

  • 1278

    粉丝

Who will qualify into big final?

2022-12-13

比赛分析

世界杯

已完赛

星期三2022-12-14 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Argentina have all required tools to make win in today's match up.

Argentina is in good form, after loss in opening match of tournament, now they are on hot streak and they don't have any problems with goalscoring - they scored more than one goal in last 4 consecutive matches. Messi is in great form and he will be extremely hard to stop also today.

Argentina in previous round fully controlled game against Netherlands (2:0 lead), but somehow they failed to win in 90 minutes (2:2) and needed penalties. That wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Argentina 1.92, for Netherlands 0.55 (they had only 6 shots). For sure Argentina today will be focused more and wants to avoid such drama again.

I mentioned this already in previous round - Croatia don't have young team and they played already two extra times in knockout stage (against Japan and Brazil). Without any shadow of doubt freshness is not on their side. In addition to that they had huge luck against Brazil as they really shouldn't win this game: expected goals scored for Croatia 0.63, for Brazil 2.55.

Argentina is in better form and is more fresh. That should be enough to make win today and get promotion into big final!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,阿根廷拥有在今天的比赛中取胜所需要的一切工具。

阿根廷的状态很好,在首战失利后,现在他们的状态很好,他们在进球方面没有任何问题——他们在最近连续4场比赛中进球超过1个。梅西状态很好,今天他也很难被阻挡。

上一轮阿根廷完全控制了对阵荷兰队的比赛(2:0领先),但不知为何他们在90分钟内(2:2)未能取胜,需要点球。这根本不是一个应得的结果:阿根廷的预期进球数为1.92,荷兰的预期进球数为0.55(他们只有6次射门)。可以肯定的是,阿根廷今天将更加专注,并希望避免再次发生这样的戏剧性事件。

我在上一轮已经提到了这一点——克罗地亚没有年轻的球队,他们已经在淘汰赛阶段打了两次加时赛(对阵日本和巴西)。毫无疑问,新鲜并不在他们这一边。除此之外,他们在对阵巴西的比赛中运气非常好,因为他们真的不应该赢这场比赛:克罗地亚的预期进球数为0.63,巴西为2.55。

阿根廷状态更好,更新鲜。这应该足以让我们赢得今天的比赛,并晋级决赛!


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。