Las Palmas VS Albacete

Albacete try to challenge Las Palmas in this Spanish LaLiga2 round 20 battle at Estadio de Gran Canaria in The Canary Islands early Monday morning Beijing time. Well, I think ”try” is indeed the keyword today.. The hosts have a clear edge in all areas of the game and also have great home fans! Albacete were promoted from Primera RFEF for this season. They finished in third place in Group 2 with 67 points and a score difference of 52:34. They were not overly convincing and their performances were, in fact, quite erratic throughout the season. We must remember that the difference between the 2nd and 3rd tier is substantial. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was just 61.23. Indeed, I do not expect a successful season for the visitors. Many of their players have played above their normal level so far and this cannot go on for much longer, I presume. They have, however, been better than I estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis. I have, as result, slightly raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Especially their offense has been much more effective than I would have expected. They have netted the ball 21 times. Even so, I only rate them as the 19th best team in this league with a total of 22 clubs. They currently occupy the 13th place which is probably the main reason behind the over-valuation on the betting market.. Their xPTS is is just 21.77 but in reality they have grabbed 26 points.

Albacete were quite lame in their most recent match against a mediocre team, Zaragoza. It was a goalless draw at home. The visitors had 59% ball possession and also recorded more shots on goal, total passes, completed passes and attacks. Both teams created the same number of scoring attempts and attacks - 10 and 91 to be precise. Zaragoza were the favorites according to the bookies in this match but did not meet the expectations.. Before this they got destroyed away from home by Mirandes's offense. Indeed, Albacate suffered a 2-4 defeat and unless they clearly improve their defense - or get lucky - they most probably will lose against a very good team Las Palmas today! They looked very unorganized in defense and the defenders made multiple silly mistakes. Las Palmas had a good last season and were not very far from being promoted to LaLiga. This season they have been even better and currently top the standings with 35 points in the pocket and fine score difference of 22:10. I see them having potential to score more goals per game than they have so far and I would not be too surprised if they were to take a clear win today! They were not at their most in their most recent match against Oviedo though and it was a 0-0 draw away from home. They had a bad day offensively - they attacks were often too slow and predictable - but let's not forget that Oviedo are a better team than the standings suggest and and played a better than average game.. However, Las Palmas were only narrow favorites in this match. Before this they traveled to Gijon and took a solid 1-0 win after a great defensive performance and even recorded a 58% ball possession! Gijon are a pretty dangerous team and Las Palmas were the underdogs priced over 3.00 by the bookies to win that clash. Furthermore, on the 26th of November they dominated a pretty strong team, Tenerife, and won 3-1 at home after allowing the visitors just one shot on goal.. They have lost just twice in LaLiga2 this season and have a 68% chance to send Albacete home without any points!

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拉斯帕尔马斯VS阿尔巴塞特

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北京时间周一凌晨，在加那利群岛的大加那利球场，阿尔巴塞特队试图挑战拉斯帕尔马斯队。嗯，我认为“尝试”确实是今天的关键词。东道主在比赛的各个方面都有明显的优势，而且也有大量的主场球迷!阿尔巴塞特本赛季从Primera RFEF升级。他们以67分排名第二组第三，比分相差52:34。他们的表现并不令人信服，事实上整个赛季他们的表现都很不稳定。我们必须记住，第二层和第三层之间的差异是巨大的。他们的期望值(xPTS)只有61.23分。事实上，我并不期待客队能有一个成功的赛季。到目前为止，他们的许多球员的表现都超过了正常水平，我认为这种情况不会持续太久。然而，他们比我在季前赛深度分析中估计的要好。因此，我稍微提高了他们的功率等级，这反映了车队的纯粹等级。尤其是他们的进攻比我预期的要有效得多。他们已经得分21次。即便如此，我也只把他们排在联赛22支球队中的第19名。他们目前占据第13位，这可能是博彩市场估值过高的主要原因。他们的xPTS仅为21.77，但实际上他们已经获得了26分。

阿尔巴塞特在最近一次对阵平庸的萨拉戈萨的比赛中表现很差。这是一场主场无进球的平局。客队的控球率为59%，射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数和进攻次数也更多。两支球队创造了相同数量的得分尝试和攻击——准确地说，分别是10次和91次。根据博彩公司的说法，萨拉戈萨在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的，但没有达到预期。在此之前，他们被米兰达斯的进攻摧毁了。事实上，Albacate遭遇了2-4的失败，除非他们明显改善他们的防守-或者幸运-他们很可能会在今天输给一个非常好的球队拉斯帕尔马斯!他们的防守看起来很无组织，防守者犯了很多愚蠢的错误。拉斯帕尔马斯上个赛季表现不错，并且离升入西甲不远了。本赛季他们表现得更好，目前以35分的优势排在积分榜首位，比分差为22:10。我认为他们有潜力比目前每场比赛进更多的球，如果他们今天能大胜，我也不会太惊讶!在最近的一场对阵奥维耶多的比赛中，他们并没有发挥出最好的状态，他们在客场0-0战平了奥维耶多。他们在进攻端表现不佳——他们的进攻往往太慢，太容易预测了——但我们不要忘记，奥维耶多是一支比积分榜上显示的更好的球队，而且他们的比赛比平均水平要好。然而，拉斯帕尔马斯在这场比赛中只是微弱的优势。在此之前，他们前往希洪，在出色的防守表现后，他们以1-0的比分拿下了比赛，甚至有58%的控球率!希洪是一支相当危险的球队，而拉斯帕尔马斯是被博彩公司标价超过3英镑的弱者。此外，在11月26日，他们统治了一支相当强大的球队特内里费，并在主场3-1获胜，只让客队一次射门。他们本赛季在LaLiga2中只输了两次，有68%的机会将阿尔巴塞特零分送回家!