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More surprises in the 1/4 finals? 世界杯摩洛哥VS葡萄牙

2022-12-10

比赛分析

世界杯

已完赛

星期六2022-12-10 23:00

世界杯

已完赛

星期日2022-12-11 03:00

解读理由

ENGLAND - FRANCE

England is in great form and coming to this game with the aim of finally winning an international tournament, after losing the EURO on penalties and the previous World Cup in semi-finals in penalties too.

So far they played against very weak teams in the tournament, but this team managed to score 12 goals in 4 games, which is impressive. Some players like Bellingham or Kane are at a great level.

On the other hand, France is at a great level too. Several players are in great form, especially the attackers Mbappe - Griezmann - Giroud and they look unstoppable.

In the midfield we must remember that key players (and starters) Pogba - Kante aren’t available in this tournament, and France is using players who aren’t ready for this kind of games in my opinion due to lack of experience (Tchouameni) or lack of quality (Rabiot).

Both teams know each other very well, and surely we will see a tight game. But I see England a bit favorite here because, although France has a lot of quality, I saw some weaknesses in their defense which could be well exploited by England, who is on amazing form upfront.

Curiously this will be the first “serious” tests for both sides, who played against very weak teams so far, especially in 1/8 finals (Poland and Senegal). In terms of quality, both teams are on a total 50-50 for me, where France is a bit stronger upfront and England at the back with a better defensive system (much more solid and difficult to beat). Both sides also have the ability (and players) to create a goal from anywhere.

This will be a great game on paper, but boring on the field I think. With two defensive coaches in this kind of meetings, who will try to “block” the rival and without taking a single risk, playing very cautious, so it’s very possible to see an extra time or even penalties here. This game will be decided by minimum details, because we have here two teams with quality and experience to win this game and even the tournament. But I have the feeling that here France could suffer the “curse” of the winner in the World Cup.

MOROCCO - PORTUGAL

Morocco made history and I believe they could continue doing it. Their game against Spain was amazing defensively conceding just a couple of shots on target and so far they have conceded just one goal in 4 games, which was an own goal against Canada when the game was already 0:2. According to the numbers and performances so far, Morocco has the best defence of the tournament.

Even against Spain, if they would have taken a bit more risks, they would have won in the regular time because although they were outplayed in possession, Morocco had the full control of the game.

They have many players on important European teams, so maybe the team is lacking experience in these international tournaments, but not the players. Furthermore, we’ll see huge support by fans. They are the last and only african national team in the tournament and against Spain we saw a huge support by almost the whole stadium, so surely we will see the same (or even more) against Portugal.

On the other hand, Portugal has a lot of quality and they destroyed Switzerland in the 1/ 8 finals, but I believe that this result could be dangerous for them. First, because Switzerland had several problems and weren’t as strong as previous years. Made several mistakes in defense. And secondly, because they face this match with a bit of overconfidence, which would be normal after winning 6:1 in the last eighteen of a major tournament like this one.

Portugal is a team who looks “limited” in the important games. Coach is giving priority to the order and defensive system rather than the quality and creativity of their attacking and talented players.

Morocco has nothing to lose here, and surely will play a very strong and difficult game for Portugal, who will need to be at 100% to beat the strong Morocco’s defence. Spain couldn’t find any spaces, but Belgium and Croatia either. Portugal has quality to find them, but Morocco also showed a great ability to stop talented attackers.

I believe this will be a tight game, and I see Morocco with the ability to be concentrated in defense, avoiding chances during at least 90 minutes. In the extra time they could suffer a lot, as did against Spain, but I see them able to avoid defeat in the regular time.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

英格兰-法国

英格兰队状态很好,这次比赛的目标是最终赢得一项国际赛事,他们在点球大战中输掉了欧洲杯,也在点球大战中输掉了之前的世界杯。

到目前为止,他们在比赛中与非常弱的球队交手,但这支球队在4场比赛中打入12球,这令人印象深刻。像贝灵汉和凯恩这样的球员水平很高。

另一方面,法国的水平也很高。几名球员状态都很好,尤其是攻击手姆巴佩、格列兹曼和吉鲁,他们看起来势不可挡。

在中场,我们必须记住关键球员(和首发球员)博格巴和坎特在本届比赛中无法出场,法国队使用的球员在我看来还没有为这种比赛做好准备,因为他们缺乏经验(Tchouameni)或缺乏质量(Rabiot)。

两队都非常了解对方,我们肯定会看到一场势均力敌的比赛。但我认为英格兰队在这里更受欢迎,因为尽管法国队实力雄厚,但我看到了他们防守上的一些弱点,这可以被英格兰队很好地利用,他们的前场状态令人惊叹。

奇怪的是,这将是对双方的第一次“严肃”考验,他们迄今为止都对阵过非常弱的球队,尤其是1/8决赛(波兰和塞内加尔)。在我看来,两支球队的实力大致相当,法国的前场更强一些,而英格兰的后场防守体系更好(更坚固,更难击败)。双方(和球员)都有能力在任何地方创造进球。

这将是一场精彩的比赛,但我认为在球场上很无聊。在这种情况下,两名防守教练会试图“阻止”对手,而且不会冒任何风险,踢得非常谨慎,所以很可能会出现加时赛甚至点球。这场比赛将由最小的细节决定,因为我们有两支有实力和经验的球队来赢得这场比赛,甚至赢得比赛。但我有一种感觉,在这里,法国可能会遭受世界杯冠军的“诅咒”。

摩洛哥-葡萄牙

摩洛哥创造了历史,我相信他们会继续创造历史。在对阵西班牙的比赛中,他们的防守非常出色,只丢了几次射正,到目前为止,他们在4场比赛中只丢了一个球,那是在对阵加拿大的比赛中,比赛已经是0:2。从目前为止的数据和表现来看,摩洛哥拥有本届杯赛最好的防守。

即使在对阵西班牙的比赛中,如果他们愿意多冒一点风险,他们也会在常规时间内获胜,因为尽管他们在控球权上处于劣势,但摩洛哥完全控制了比赛。

他们有很多球员在重要的欧洲球队,所以也许球队在这些国际比赛中缺乏经验,但不是球员。此外,我们还将得到粉丝们的大力支持。他们是最后一支也是唯一一支非洲国家队,在对阵西班牙的比赛中,我们看到了几乎整个球场的球迷的大力支持,所以我们肯定会在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中看到同样的(甚至更多)。

另一方面,葡萄牙队实力雄厚,他们在1/ 8决赛中击败了瑞士,但我相信这个结果对他们来说是危险的。首先,因为瑞士有几个问题,不像前几年那么强大。在防守中犯了几次错误。其次,因为他们在面对这场比赛时有点过于自信,这是正常的,因为他们在这样一个大型赛事的18强赛中以6:1获胜。

葡萄牙是一支在重要比赛中显得“有限”的球队。教练优先考虑的是秩序和防守体系,而不是他们的进攻和天才球员的质量和创造力。

摩洛哥在这里没有什么可失去的,他们肯定会为葡萄牙队打一场非常强大和艰难的比赛,葡萄牙队需要100%的状态来击败强大的摩洛哥防线。西班牙找不到空位,比利时和克罗地亚也找不到。葡萄牙有能力找到他们,但摩洛哥也表现出了强大的能力来阻止有天赋的攻击手。

我相信这将是一场激烈的比赛,我认为摩洛哥有能力集中防守,至少在90分钟内避免机会。在加时赛中,他们可能会遭受很多损失,就像对阵西班牙一样,但我认为他们能够在常规时间避免失败。


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