Burgos CF VS Eibar

Burgos host Eibar for this LaLiga2 round 19 clash at Estadio El Plantío Thursday evenining. Burgos have been a sensation of the LaLiga2 season and do not shown any signs of slowing down! Even so, the bookies still keep on underestimating them. Burgos were, in fact, quite good already last season and finished in 11th place. They are a small club in terms of financial resources and players' total market value by LaLiga2 standards but perform massively better on the pitch than the total market value - 12 million euros - according to Transfermarkt.com would reflect. This is a good example of a situation where this commonly used - and often quite accurate number in terms of a team's level on the pitch – is misleading. Burgos's stunningly good defensive quality has been praised especially in the Spanish football media this season – but even here in Finland where LaLiga2 does not normally get a lot of media attention. Their defensive structure is amazingly good and the midfielders – sometimes even the strikers actively participate in defending.

Burgos's excellent coach Julian Calero, 52, deserves massive praise for the success. Indeed, the hosts have allowed just seven (!) goals in 18 matches in this league. However, in terms if expected goals allowed the number is a little bigger though. They have netted the ball 17 times – not a very high number but their score difference 17:7 (+10) is still the second-best in LaLiga2 after Las Palmas who currently top the standings with 25 points. Burgos have taken 24 - indeed a win today would earrn them the first place. Surely Burgos are not a top-2 team by pure class but I would not be at all surprised to see them finish in top-5! Burgos have been excellent in front of their fans at so far this season in LaLiga2 losing just once and recording a score difference of 11:4. Even so, the biggest bookmakers with the largest betting limits see Eibar as favorites. I cannot agree with this and see Burgos as narrow favorites. Burgos have lost just two of their latest 10 games and have avoided a defeat in four matches in a row. A draw is quite probable here and would be enough for my fans and me to win with the +0.5 goal's handicap. The probability is 72%. Eibar are a good team but have not been at their best lately winning two of their latest fve matches.,

周四晚上，布尔戈斯主场迎战埃瓦尔，参加西甲第 19 轮的比赛。布尔戈斯在 LaLiga2 赛季引起了轰动，并且没有任何放缓的迹象！即便如此，博彩公司仍然继续低估他们。事实上，布尔戈斯上赛季的表现已经相当不错，排名第 11 位。按照 LaLiga2 的标准，他们在财政资源和球员总市值方面是一家小俱乐部，但在球场上的表现远远好于总市值——1200 万欧元——根据 Transfermarkt.com 的数据。这是一个很好的例子，说明这个常用的——而且在球队在球场上的水平方面通常非常准确的数字——具有误导性。布尔戈斯惊人的出色防守质量在本赛季尤其受到西班牙足球媒体的赞扬——但即使在芬兰，LaLiga2 通常也不会受到媒体的广泛关注。他们的防守结构出奇的好，中场球员——有时甚至前锋也积极参与防守。

布尔戈斯 52 岁的优秀教练朱利安·卡莱罗 (Julian Calero) 的成功值得大力赞扬。事实上，东道主在联赛的 18 场比赛中只丢了 7 个（！）球。然而，如果预期目标允许的话，这个数字会更大一些。他们打进了 17 球——不是一个很高的数字，但他们的分差 17:7（+10）仍然是 LaLiga2 的第二好，仅次于目前以 25 分高居积分榜榜首的拉斯帕尔马斯。布尔戈斯获得了 24 分——事实上，今天的胜利将使他们获得第一名。布尔戈斯当然不是纯级别的前 2 球队，但看到他们进入前 5 我一点也不会感到惊讶！本赛季到目前为止，布尔戈斯在球迷面前表现出色，在西甲联赛中只输了一场，分差为 11:4。即便如此，拥有最大投注限额的最大博彩公司仍将 Eibar 视为热门。我不能同意这一点，也不能将布尔戈斯视为狭隘的最爱。布尔戈斯他们最近的10场比赛只输了两场，并且已经连续四场比赛避免了失利。这里很可能打成平局，这足以让我和我的球迷以 +0.5 的让分获胜。概率为 72%。 Eibar 是一支优秀的球队，但最近并没有达到最佳状态，最近赢得了最近五场比赛中的两场。