Tenerife VS Alavés

Tenerife welcome Alaves for this LaLiga2 round 19 clash at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López in Santa Cruz de Tenerife early Thursday. A balanced and good-quality battle by LaLiga2 standards is on the cards here. The largest bookmakers with the biggest stake limits estimate the number of expected goals being below 2 – I agree with this! The probability of a draw is high – even by this leagues standards – 35%. The betting market sees Tenerife as solid favorites here. This I cannot agree with and see them only as extremely marginal favorites with today's expected lineups. The smart choice is to side with Alaves with the +0.5 goal's handicap option. The draw would be enough for my fans and me to win – the chance if 67%. Alaves were relegated from LaLiga after a weak last season. Indeed, they finished last but we must not forget that the difference between the first tier and LaLiga2 is massive! Alaves currently occupy the third place in the standings with 34 points to their account. This is just one points less than Las Palmas who top the standings – and the same number as Burgos (2nd). However, I rate Alaves as a top-2 team in this league and see them having a great chance to be promoted back to LaLiga for next season. They do not have any clear weaknesses in their games. They have scored 21 goals and allowed 15. I would have expected them to be a little more solid defensively though. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 11.87.

Alaves are a big team by financial resources and players' total market value according to Transfermarkt.com. This number is almost the double compared to that of Tenerife's squad's total market value and reflects the edge Alaves have by pure class. They have an edge in all areas of the game over Tenerife. The biggest difference is in defense – especially in the defenders' individual skill level but also in defensive structure. Tenerife finished in 5th place last season but have been very disappointing this season. They are in the 16th place with just 20 points in the pocket and have a goal difference of 17:20. The bookies still seem to trust them quite a lot but I have significantly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, they are traditionally a good team at home, in the Canary Islands and do have enthusiastic fans. They have lost three of their latest five games and have failed to net the ball in two of their most recent matches. Three days against a decent Danish team, Bröndby, they lost a friendly game 0-4 (!) as favorites according to the bookies. I did not have a chance to watch the game but the match reports do not flatted Tenerife. Before this they controlled the events at home against R. Oviedo but lost 0-1 as their offense was quite lame indeed. Alaves have lost just one of their latest 10 games but were not good in their most recent match though. They lost to Granada, a strong team, 1-3 away from home as underdogs. Granada played very well in this match and this loss does not worry me too much ahead of this game!

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特内里费VS Alavés

周四早些时候，特内里费欢迎阿拉维斯参加在圣克鲁斯德特内里费的赫里奥多罗球场Rodríguez López举行的西甲联赛第19轮比赛。根据《LaLiga2》的标准，这是一场平衡且高质量的战斗。最大的博彩公司和最大的赌注限制估计预期目标的数量低于2 -我同意这一点!平局的概率很高，即使按照这个联赛的标准，也是35%。博彩市场认为特内里费岛是最受欢迎的。我不同意这一点，我认为他们在今天的预期阵容中只是非常边缘的热门。明智的选择是与阿拉维斯站在一起，用+0.5的障碍选项。抽签结果足以让我的粉丝和我赢——几率是67%。阿拉维斯在上赛季表现不佳后从西甲联赛降级。确实，他们是最后一名，但我们不能忘记第一梯队和《LaLiga2》之间的差异是巨大的!阿拉维斯目前以34分位居积分榜第三。这只比排名第一的拉斯帕尔马斯少一分，与排名第二的布尔戈斯相同。然而，我认为阿拉维斯在这个联赛中排名前2，他们有很大的机会在下赛季升回西甲。他们在比赛中没有任何明显的弱点。他们进了21个球，失球15个。我本以为他们的防守会更稳固一些。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)只有11.87个。

根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，从财力和球员总市值来看，阿拉维斯是一支豪门球队。这个数字几乎是特内里费球队总市值的两倍，这反映了阿拉维斯在纯级别上的优势。他们在各方面都比特内里费岛有优势。最大的不同在于防守，尤其是防守球员的个人技术水平，还有防守结构。特内里费上赛季排名第五，但本赛季非常令人失望。他们排在第16位，仅积20分，净胜球为17:20。博彩公司似乎仍然非常信任他们，但我大幅降低了他们的实力评级，这反映了车队的纯粹等级。然而，在加那利群岛，他们是一支传统的强队，拥有热情的球迷。他们在最近的五场比赛中输掉了三场，在最近的两场比赛中没有进球。三天前，他们对阵了一支不错的丹麦队Bröndby，他们以0:4输掉了一场友谊赛(!)我没有机会观看比赛，但比赛报告并没有贬低特内里费。在此之前，他们在主场控制了对R. Oviedo的比赛，但由于他们的进攻相当糟糕，他们以0-1输掉了比赛。阿拉维斯在最近的10场比赛中只输了一场，但在最近的比赛中表现不佳。他们在客场1-3不敌强队格拉纳达。格拉纳达在这场比赛中踢得非常好，这场失利并没有让我在比赛前太担心!