In my opinion Morocco have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH looks like the best bet to play here.

Both teams played each other on World Cup 4 years ago - match finished with draw 2:2 so for sure Morocco coming for this game without any fear.

Morocco is stronger team than 4 years ago, no doubts about that. Great coach and very united squad. They won group with Croatia, Belgium and Canada. They conceded only one goal (by own goal). It's not coincidence - Moroccan team conceded only one goal in last 7 matches in all competitions (!!!). Against strong teams like Belgium or Canada they had expected goals conceded number below 0.99. They are also dangerous in attack, looks like Chelsea winger Ziyech finally found good flow and he is able to make a lot of damage.

I wasn't convinced by Spain performance in last two matches. According to the expected goals scored model they should lose against Germany (0.62 against 1.29) and against Japan (1.04 against 1.45). They won only one match at this tournament so far. For sure Spain not coming here full of confidence.

Of course, Spain is fav to win this game, but for me those odds are simply too low. Morocco have all required tools to cover such high HC line.

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在我看来，摩洛哥在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。+1.5 AH看起来是最好的选择。

两支球队在4年前的世界杯上交手过，比赛以2:2的比分结束，所以毫无疑问摩洛哥将毫无畏惧地参加这场比赛。

摩洛哥比4年前更强了，这是毫无疑问的。伟大的教练和非常团结的球队。他们与克罗地亚、比利时和加拿大同组。他们只丢了一个球(乌龙球)。这不是巧合——摩洛哥队在过去的7场比赛中只丢了一个球(!!)对阵比利时或加拿大这样的强队时，他们预期失球数低于0.99。他们在进攻端也很危险，看起来切尔西边锋齐耶赫终于找到了良好的流畅，他能够制造很多破坏。

我不相信西班牙在前两场比赛中的表现。根据预期进球数模型，他们应该会输给德国(0.62比1.29)和日本(1.04比1.45)。到目前为止，他们在这次比赛中只赢得了一场比赛。毫无疑问，西班牙不会满怀信心来到这里。

当然，西班牙最有希望赢得这场比赛，但对我来说，这种可能性太低了。摩洛哥有所有需要的工具覆盖如此高的HC线。