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西班牙人,全职体育专家。
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Spain to 1/4 finals?

2022-12-06

比赛分析

世界杯

已完赛

星期二2022-12-06 23:00

解读理由

Disagree with this odds. Spain can’t be huge favorite.

Morocco made a great qualification stage beating deservedly Belgium and Canada, and achieving a draw against quarter-finalists Croatia. It has been a continuation of their great qualifiers (6/6 victories, 20 goals scored and just one conceded) and also beating Congo in the Playoffs 5:2 on aggregate.

This team is based on a very solid and experienced defense, very aggressive and competitive. They have a great goalkeeper, with good defenses, and confidence thanks to their last results.

The team looks liberated after the departure of head coach Halilhodzic (who had many problems with the stars of the team), and it’s well known from Russia 2018 when it played against Spain in the group stage, drawing 2:2 with the Spanish team scoring the draw at 91’.

So far in the tournament Morocco just conceded one goal: an own goal against Canada.

On the other hand, Spain has been a very irregular team. I believe that the team has more expectations than their real quality. The team is lacking experience everywhere, with some players like Busquets not able to play at this pace while others are far from the level of other top teams (France, Brazil…).

The team clearly has two strong points: midfield and coach. But the attack is lacking goals with Morata and the defense isn’t solid/strong, because players like Unai Simon (goalkeeper) or Rodri (who is midfielder but is playing as central-back) aren’t trustable.

Spain weren’t better than Japan and Germany, and only against Costa Rica showed a good level for the whole match. We must remember that this team only won 3 games in the last 3 World Cups: Costa Rica, Iran and Australia.

Personally I see Morocco as more difficult than Croatia (Spain’s rival if they would have ended 1st). Morocco has more ability to steal the ball, it’s more aggressive and with better pressure, and also it’s this kind of teams which use to be very difficult for spanish team: a defensive team who parks the bus, with very fast players for the counters, able to keep the goal to nil and close all possible spaces, and leaving an useless possession to Spain while they are defending comfortably.

Of course Spain has more quality and is favorite here, but I dont see an easy game for them. Morocco is a very well organised team and as said, I see their style clearly as this kind of team which hurts a lot the Spanish team. Spain lost a lot of confidence with their performance in the last game against Japan, where they were even out of the tournament for some minutes (during the lead of Costa Rica against Germany) and that match put a lot of doubts around the team and players.

This are the ⅛ finals of a World Cup, Morocco is here deservedly after end above strong teams like Croatia and Belgium and I dont see Spain such strong to be 2 goals favorite here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

不同意这个说法。西班牙不可能是大热门。

摩洛哥在预选赛中击败了比利时和加拿大,并在1 / 4决赛中战平克罗地亚。这是他们在预选赛上出色表现的延续(6胜6负,进20球失1球),并且在季后赛中总比分5:2击败刚果。

这支球队是建立在一个非常坚实和经验丰富的防守基础上的,非常有侵略性和竞争力。他们有一个伟大的门将,有良好的防守,还有信心,这要归功于他们最近的成绩。

主教练哈利霍季奇(Halilhodzic)离开后,这支球队看起来解放了(他与球队的明星球员有很多问题),这一点在2018年俄罗斯世界杯小组赛中与西班牙的比赛中就已经众所周知,他们在小组赛中2:2战平,西班牙队在91分钟时攻入平局。

到目前为止,摩洛哥只丢了一个球:对加拿大的乌龙球。

另一方面,西班牙一直是一支非常不规律的球队。我相信这支球队的期望值比他们的真实水平要高。球队在各个方面都缺乏经验,像布斯克茨这样的球员不能以这样的速度踢球,而其他人的水平与其他顶级球队(法国、巴西……)相差很远。

这支球队显然有两个强项:中场和教练。但莫拉塔的进攻缺少进球,防守也不稳固/强大,因为像尤奈·西蒙(门将)或罗德里(他是中场,但打中后卫)这样的球员不可靠。

西班牙队并不比日本队和德国队强,只有在对阵哥斯达黎加的比赛中,西班牙队在整场比赛中表现出了不错的水平。我们必须记住,这支球队在最近三届世界杯中只赢得了3场比赛:哥斯达黎加、伊朗和澳大利亚。

就我个人而言,我认为摩洛哥比克罗地亚更难对付(西班牙的竞争对手,如果他们能获得第一名的话)。摩洛哥抢断球的能力更强,更有侵略性,压力也更大,而且这种球队过去对西班牙队来说是非常困难的:这是一支防守性很强的球队,他们把球停在原地,用速度非常快的球员进行反击,能够将进球保持在零,并关闭所有可能的空间,在西班牙队舒适地防守时留下无用的控球机会。

当然,西班牙的实力更强,是这里最受欢迎的球队,但我不认为他们会轻松取胜。摩洛哥是一支非常有组织的球队,正如我所说的,我清楚地看到他们的风格,这种球队伤害了西班牙队很多。西班牙队在上一场对阵日本的比赛中失去了很多信心,在那场比赛中他们甚至有几分钟没有参加比赛(在哥斯达黎加对阵德国的比赛中),那场比赛给球队和球员带来了很多质疑。

这是世界杯的⅛场决赛,摩洛哥在击败克罗地亚和比利时这样的强队之后理所当然地来到了这里,我没见过西班牙强大到能进2球的程度。


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