Odds on hosts raised up by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and now I see excellent value on home side. In my opinion Ponferradina have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match.

Ponferradina have good mental advantage before today's game as they won last 3 consecutive home matches against Burgos. Ponferradina is pretty solid at home - they didn't lost in 5 of 8 home league matches. On the other hand Burgos failed to win in 5 of 8 away league matches.

In addition to that Burgos today will start without 3 key players which played in first line up in last round: central defenders Cordoba & Elgezabal and midfielder Munoz (assisted in last round). That should have very bad impact on their performance today.

All in all, double chance on home side looks like solid play here.