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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A lucrative match in Italy! 意乙布雷西亚VS雷吉纳

2022-12-04

比赛分析

意乙

已完赛

星期日2022-12-04 22:00

解读理由

Brescia VS Reggina

Brescia welcome Reggina at Stadio Mario Rigamonti for this Italian Serie B round 15 clash. An interesting and pretty high-level match by Serie B standards is on the cards here. Reggina currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings with a fine number of points to their account – 26. Brescia are in 5th place. Reggina have netted the ball 26 times and have defended well in most of matches so far this season. Indeed, they have allowed just 13 goals – the third-lowest number in Serie B. They have massively improved from last season when they could not make it to the top-10. I must admit that I did not expect them them to be quite this good in my in-depth pre-season analysis.. However, I believe they have positively surprised not only me but also most football analysts, the betting market, their fans – and perhaps even themselves! I have as, as a result of their fine performances, significantly raised their power rating that reflects the teams pure class! The 26 goals scored is the biggest number in this league. However, the number is expected goals (xG) for them is a little lower - 24.43 to be specific. Even so, their offense has a great structure and creativity. They also often pass the ball fast and accurately - by Serie B standards.

Reggina had a little slump in October – at least results-wise when they lost to Parma 2-0 - Perugia defeated them 3-2. Against Perugia they were however, extremely unlucky to lose at home. They had 73% ball possession, recorded almost thirty goal attempts, 14 shots on target and much more passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 86-12! Let's remember that Perugia are a more dangerous than their current place in the standings would suggest.. Against Parma, away from home, they did not dominate the game but would have earned at least a draw after 57% ball possession and more scoring attempts – 12-8. They have now avoided defeat the in four games in a row and deserve to be solid favorites in this match with today's expected lineups. With the +0.5 handicap option my fans and I have a 72% chance to win. Brescia are surely not a bad team but I have been quite disappointed on them offensively this season. It is often too slow and predictable. This makes it easy for the opponent to organize the defense and prevent Brescia from creating too many promising scoring chances. The lame offense makes winning games, against the top teams in particular, quite difficult.. Indeed, they have won just two of their latest 10 games. They did beat Spal in their most recent game 2-0 at home as clear favorites though. However, the visitors recorded a 70% ball possession and much more total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks 34-62.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布雷西亚VS雷吉纳

在意乙第15轮的比赛中,布雷西亚在马里奥里加蒙蒂球场欢迎雷吉纳。以意乙的标准来看,这是一场有趣而高水平的比赛。雷吉纳目前在积分榜上排名第二,积分为26分。布雷西亚排名第五。雷吉纳在本赛季到目前为止的大部分比赛中都取得了26次进球,并且防守出色。事实上,他们只丢了13个球——这是乙级联赛中第三低的数字。与上个赛季未能进入前十相比,他们已经有了很大的进步。我必须承认,在我深入的季前赛分析中,我没有料到他们会这么好。然而,我相信他们不仅让我感到惊讶,也让大多数足球分析家、博彩市场、他们的球迷——甚至他们自己感到惊讶!我已经,由于他们的良好表现,显著提高了他们的功率评分,反映了球队的纯级别!26球的进球数是这个联赛中最多的。然而,他们的预期目标(xG)略低,具体来说是24.43。即便如此,他们的进攻有很好的结构和创造力。以意乙的标准来看,他们的传球也经常又快又准。

雷吉纳在10月有一点低迷——至少在结果方面,他们0 -2输给帕尔马,佩鲁贾3-2击败了他们。然而对佩鲁贾,他们却非常不幸地在主场输球。他们有73%的控球率,记录了近30次射门,14次射正,还有更多的传球,完成传球,进攻,特别是危险的进攻——86胜12负!让我们记住佩鲁贾比他们目前的排名更危险。在客场对阵帕尔马的比赛中,他们并没有占据主导地位,但在57%的控球率和更多的得分机会(12比8)后,他们至少可以赢得一场平局。他们已经在四场比赛中避免了失败,从今天的阵容来看,他们应该是这场比赛中最受欢迎的球队。加上+0.5的障碍选项,我和我的粉丝有72%的机会获胜。布雷西亚当然不是一支糟糕的球队,但我对他们本赛季的进攻很失望。它往往太慢,而且是可预测的。这使得对手更容易组织防守,防止布雷西亚创造太多有希望的进球机会。糟糕的进攻使得赢得比赛,特别是面对顶级球队,非常困难。事实上,他们最近10场比赛只赢了两场。在最近的一场主场比赛中,他们以2-0的比分击败了斯帕尔。然而,客队有70%的控球率,总传球、完成传球、进攻,尤其是危险的进攻,比34比62要多得多。


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