A very early game in the NBA on Saturday night! New York Knicks is going to host Dallas Mavericks. The Knicks with 10 wins and 12 losses is the 11th-best team in the Eastern Conference while the Mavericks are also in the 11th place in the Western Conference with 10 wins and 11 losses. In this game, I'm picking New York to win.

The Knicks have won only one out of the last four games. At the same time, those losses were by a small margin - three points against Portland, four points against Memphis and six points against the Bucks. Dallas is struggling also because they have won just one game out of the last six and they are terrible on the road with just one win in eight games.

Dallas has Luka Doncic and no other real players. There are some issues for the Mavericks. The shooting has always been streaky for this team, but the offense has found a way to look firmly above average as long as Doncic is in there. The frontcourt play has been pretty middling. Dallas hasn’t had a rebounding rate over 49.4% in the last six games and the cherry on top was the second-worst rebounding performance of the season against Detroit. Overall this season, Dallas is the worst rebounding team in the league.

While they may rank 13th in rebounding this season, the Knicks have been punishing opponents down low of late with a solid 52% rebounding rate in the last five games. Against those same Pistons, the Knicks pulled down a ridiculous 61.8% of available rebounds. The Knicks are currently averaging the second-most field goals made inside of 10 feet in the NBA right now with a robust 58.4% of their looks falling. Between the revival of Julius Randle and some strong work on the glass from Mitchell Robinson, New York is arguably one of the stronger teams in the league down low. There's a saying that if you can't get more rebounds than your opponent, you can't win the game.

I also like that New York has many different options on offense and that will be huge in this matchup. Julius Randle, RJ Barrett, Jalen Brunson, Immanuel Quickley and others can score 20 points in every game. They are at home where they have four wins and six losses and that is way better than Dallas's road record.

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周六晚上有一场很早的NBA比赛!纽约尼克斯队将主场迎战达拉斯小牛队。尼克斯以10胜12负排名东部第11位，小牛也以10胜11负排名西部第11位。这场比赛，我选纽约队赢。

尼克斯在过去的四场比赛中只赢了一场。与此同时，这些失利的差距很小——输给开拓者3分，输给灰熊4分，输给雄鹿6分。小牛队的挣扎还因为他们在过去的六场比赛中只赢了一场，他们在客场的表现很糟糕，8场比赛只赢了一场。

达拉斯只有卢卡·东契奇，没有其他真正的球员。小牛队有一些问题。这支球队的投篮一直不佳，但只要东契奇在，他们的进攻就能稳稳高于平均水平。前场打得相当一般。小牛在过去的六场比赛中篮板率都没有超过49.4%，最令人开心的是他们在对底特律的比赛中篮板表现第二差。本赛季，小牛是联盟篮板最差的球队。

虽然他们在本赛季的篮板榜上排名第13位，但尼克斯在最近的五场比赛中以52%的稳固篮板率打击了对手。面对同样的活塞，尼克斯竟然砍下了61.8%的篮板。尼克斯目前是NBA场均10英尺内投篮命中率第二高的球队，有58.4%的投篮命中率。由于朱利叶斯·兰德尔的恢复和米切尔·罗宾逊在篮板上的出色表现，纽约可以说是联盟中最强大的球队之一。有一种说法是，如果你不能比对手抢到更多的篮板，你就不能赢得比赛。

我也喜欢纽约在进攻端有很多不同的选择，这将在这场比赛中发挥巨大作用。朱利叶斯·兰德尔、RJ·巴雷特、杰伦·布伦森、伊曼纽尔·奎克利等人每场比赛都能得到20分。他们在主场取得了4胜6负的战绩，这比小牛的客场战绩要好得多。