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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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11/8 in my last World Cup bets 🎯🎯🎯 世界杯阿根廷VS澳大利亚

2022-12-03

比赛分析

世界杯

已完赛

星期日2022-12-04 03:00

解读理由

In my opinion Argentina is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals margin.

Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous matches.

I believe Argentina have all required tools to keep clean sheet today. They looked superb at the back in group stage. They faced only 11 shots in 3 matches (!!!). I don't trust for Australian offensive formation - they scored 3 goals in 3 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 2.07.

On the other hand Argentina have Messi in excellent form. In last match against Poland he created 5 chances to score for his teammates. Argentina have extra fast strikers like Alvarez or Martinez and Messi should be able to give them a lot of opportunities to score. Australia conceded 4 goals against France (23 shots faced, 4.21 expected goals conceded) and I can imagine similar scenario today. In every game Australia so far faced at least 13 shots so I can easily see more than 15 shots for Argentina today.

Argentina won 5 of 6 matches against Australia, I see continuation of this streak. Australia lost 3 of 4 matches against South American teams at World Cup.

Argentina is title contender, for Australia this stage already is big achievement. Difference between both teams should be very visible on the pitch today.

My bet 2:0/3:0

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,阿根廷是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队,他们应该能够以至少2球的优势轻松取胜。

两支球队都没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和之前的比赛完全一样。

我相信阿根廷拥有今天保持零封所需要的所有工具。他们在小组赛阶段的后场表现出色。他们在3场比赛中只面对了11次射门(!!)我不相信澳大利亚的进攻阵型——他们在3场比赛中进了3球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进2.07球。

另一方面,阿根廷拥有状态极佳的梅西。在上一场对阵波兰的比赛中,他为队友创造了5次进球机会。阿根廷拥有像阿尔瓦雷斯或马丁内斯这样的快速前锋,梅西应该能给他们很多进球的机会。澳大利亚在与法国的比赛中丢了4球(面对23次射门,预期丢球4.21个),我可以想象今天类似的场景。到目前为止,澳大利亚在每场比赛中至少面临13次射门,所以我很容易看到阿根廷今天有超过15次射门。

阿根廷在6场对阵澳大利亚的比赛中赢了5场,我认为这一连胜还将继续。澳大利亚在世界杯上与南美球队的4场比赛中输掉了3场。

阿根廷是冠军争夺者,对澳大利亚来说这个阶段已经是很大的成就了。两支球队的区别在今天的球场上应该非常明显。


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