Viseu VS Estoril

Academico Viseu welcome Estoril for this Portuguese League Cup round 3 game at Estádio do Fontelo Thursday Beijing time. The largest and usually pretty sharp bookmakers with the highest stake limits see the visitors as favorites here – I disagree! In a way the betting market's view understandable as Estoril do play in Liga Portugal - the hosts, on the other hand, compete in the 2nd tier. However, I believe that the hosts are the more motivated team here. For teams who play at the lower level facing a bigger team from the first tier is usually very motivating! I also expect their excellent coach Jorge Costa, 51, to field his best players here. As for Estoril some squad rotation would not surprise at all.. For the home fans this is also a big match and I expect a good number of of them to show up at the stadium – before the interesting World Cup matches kick off! Moreover, Acedemico Viseu have not lost any of their six matches in front of their fans – and even took won five of these six games. Furthermore, they have avoided defeat in 12 of their latest matches and were victorious 8/12 of these! They seem to be very high in confidence and according to my sources also have a great team spirit. In their most recent match they had to defend quite a lot against another team from the 1st tier, Famalicao, away from home but did well as clear underdogs taking a 1-1 draw.

The hosts currently occupy the 6th place in Liga Portugal2 with 20 points to their account. In terms of expected points (xPTS)they would have deserved just 23points. Estoril, on the other hand, are in 12th place in Liga Portugal with 16 points to their account. However, their xPTS is just 13 points and they also have pretty bad score difference – 14:18They were disappointing in their most recent match against Tondela, especially offensively. It was a goalless League Cup match where Estoril were the favorites according to the bookies. Before this they lost to Santa Clara 1-3 away from home despite 65% ball possession. This percentage may look impressive but most of the possession they had was on their of side of the pitch.. They have not won any of their latest six games – losing four of these. With the +0.5 goals handicap we have a 72% chance to win!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Viseu VS Estoril

北京时间周四，维苏学院在Estádio do Fontelo球场欢迎埃斯托利尔参加葡萄牙联赛杯第三轮比赛。最大的，通常非常敏锐的博彩公司，最高的赌注限制，认为游客是最受欢迎的-我不同意!在某种程度上，博彩市场的观点是可以理解的，因为埃斯托利尔确实参加了葡萄牙甲级联赛——另一方面，东道主是第二层级的比赛。然而，我相信东道主是更有动力的队伍。对于打低水平比赛的团队来说，面对来自第一梯队的更大的团队通常是非常激励人的!我也希望他们51岁的优秀教练豪尔赫·科斯塔(Jorge Costa)能派出他最好的球员。至于埃斯托利尔，一些阵容轮换不会让人惊讶。对于主场球迷来说，这也是一场重要的比赛，我希望他们中的很多人会在有趣的世界杯比赛开始前来到球场!此外，阿肯德米科·维苏在他们的6场比赛中没有在球迷面前输过一场，甚至在这6场比赛中赢了5场。此外，他们在最近的12场比赛中避免了失败，并取得了8/12的胜利!他们似乎非常自信，据我的消息来源，他们也有很强的团队精神。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们不得不在客场与另一支甲级球队法马里乔(Famalicao)进行大量的防守，但他们表现出色，以1-1战平了对手。

目前，主队以20分排名葡甲第6位。从预期得分(xPTS)来看，他们应该只得到23分。另一方面，Estoril以16分的成绩排在西甲葡萄牙第12位。然而，他们的平均得分只有13分，而且他们的比分差也很差——14分18秒——他们在最近与唐德拉的比赛中令人失望，尤其是在进攻端。这是一场没有进球的联赛杯比赛，根据博彩公司的说法，埃斯托里尔是最受欢迎的球队。在此之前，他们客场1-3不敌圣克拉拉，尽管有65%的控球率。这一比例可能看起来令人印象深刻，但他们的大部分控球权都在己方球场。他们最近的六场比赛一场都没赢——输了四场。加上+0.5球的障碍，我们有72%的机会获胜!