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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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My bet for Der Klassiker in Bundesliga

2021-03-06

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期日2021-03-07 01:30

解读理由

In my opinion Bayern have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

They have really good mental advantage - they won last 4 matches in a row against Borussia. For sure guests not comes to Allianz Arena full of confidence as they conceded 24 goals in last 5 matches here in Bundesliga.

Dortmund today have huge squad problem - their winger Jadon Sancho is unavailable today. This is huge blow for the team as he looked like one of the best player in Bundesliga at the moment - 6 goals and 6 assists in 2021 already..

Bayern should have advantage fitness-wise. They played last match exactly one week ago when they trashed Koln at home, on the other hand Borussia played cup game in the middle of the week and used key players like Haland for 90 minutes there.

I see big difference in quality when I ser potential line ups. For me Bayern central midfielders duo Kimmich (2 goals and 10 assists) & Goretzka (2 goals and 5 assists) is much better than Delaney (1 goal in 13 matches) & Dahoud (1 goal in 10 matches). Dortmund defensive formation as well looks vulnerable - on the left Schulz (only 7 matches), on the right Morey (9 matches). Dortmund will have big problems against Bayern firepower.

Bayern scored already 67 goals, its their best season since 73/74. Lewandowski is on fire - already 11 goals in 2021 and he likes to play against Borussia, he scored 19 goals against them. Bayern scored at least one goal in 37 Bundesliga matches in a row and with him they should continue that great streak.

Bayern won 17 of last 21 home Bundesliga matches, on the other hand Borussia lost 3 of last 4 away Bundesliga matches. I see great chances for hosts today.

在我看来,拜仁有很好的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

他们在精神上有很大的优势——他们已经连续4场战胜了多特蒙德。当然,客人们不会满怀信心地来到安联球场,因为他们在过去的5场德甲比赛中丢了24个球。

多特蒙德今天的阵容有很大的问题——他们的边锋桑乔今天不能上场。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,因为他看起来是目前德甲最好的球员之一——2021年已经有6个进球和6次助攻了。

拜仁在体能方面应该有优势。他们在一周前的一场比赛中在主场击败了科隆,而在另一方面,多特蒙德在周中踢了一场杯赛,并让像哈兰德这样的关键球员在那里踢了90分钟。

在我看来,拜仁中场球员金米奇(2球10助攻)和戈雷茨卡(2球5助攻)比德莱尼(13场1球)和达乌德(10场1球)好多了。多特蒙德的防守阵型看起来也很脆弱——左边的舒尔茨(只打了7场),右边的莫雷(9场)。多特蒙德在对阵拜仁的火力时会遇到很大的问题。

拜仁已经进了67个球,这是他们自73/74赛季以来最好的一个赛季。莱万多夫斯基状态很好,2021年已经进了11个球,而且他喜欢和俄罗斯比赛,他在对他们的比赛中打进了19个球。拜仁在37场德甲联赛中至少进了一个球,有了他,他们将继续这一伟大的连胜。

拜仁在过去21场主场比赛中赢了17场,而Borussia在过去4场客场比赛中输了3场。我认为今天东道主获胜的机会很大。

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