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葡萄牙人,职业高手,精通德甲、葡超等欧洲联赛,对各球队有深入和独特的了解。
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11/9 - Lets GET Another WIN Here

2021-03-06

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期日2021-03-07 01:30

解读理由

Bayern Munchen vs Borussia Dortmund

Bayern is having a much harder season than in the past and that has a lot to do with the lack of resting from last season and also a lot of injuries and also some traveling in another timezone has hurt them but overall Bayern is still looking good and are in 1st place with only a 2 point lead over Leipzig who will be their main rival for the title this season. I think that Bayern overall hasn't looked has the same team from last season but we are starting to see that team from last season, I really liked what I saw from them against Lazio on the road for the Champions League where they beat them easily by 4:1 and than in the Bundesliga they played another solid game at home against Koln in a 5:1 win and we are starting to see some flashes from last season greatness from Hansi Flicks team. The only reason why the lead got cut to 2 points is because of the 3:3 home draw against Bielefeld and the 1:2 road loss to Frankfurt but those results has excuses in my opinion, they played the Club World Cup in a different country and timezone and that messed the team up, they looked tired in those games but than after those 2 games we saw a very strong Bayern team once again, so I expect them to start here a nice run of wins. For this game Bayern Munchen are without Costa, Nianzou, Pavard and Tolisso. Nubel is doubtful.

Dortmund 5th place is not what they were expecting this season, they wanted to fight for the league title with Bayern but very quickly we understand that it wasn't possible and now they are even in risk to miss the top 4 but they are still in the hunt, only 3 points behind Frankfurt. Even Dortmund hasn't looked good this season, many games they played really bad they are current on a 4 game win streak, they beat Sevilla on the road in the Champions League by 3:2, than in the Bundesliga they beat their rival Schalke on the road by 4:0 and at home Bielefeld by 3:0 and for the DFB-Cup they beat Gladbach on the road by 1:0. Even Dortmund won 4 games in a row I haven't liked their performances to be sincere, two of those 4 wins were against really poor teams Schalke and Bielefeld and even they beat Gladbach they were kinda lucky to win that game because Gladbach had clear chances to score but missed them all and also they lost key players via injury in that game what will be missed for this game. For this game Dortmund are without Akanji, Reyna, Schmelzer, Witsel, Guerreiro and Sancho.

Bayern usually dominates this games at home against Dortmund, on the road Dortmund usually gives a fight like in the last game in Dortmund where Bayern won 3:2 but in that time Bayern was kinda playing badly and Dortmund was playing better but in this game in particular I give the clear edge to Bayern, I really like what I saw from this team in the last 2 games playing almost at the level from last season and they should have no problem to give Dortmund defensive line many problems today since they are banged-up and in the last 3 home games against Dortmund, Bayern won by 6:0, 5:0 and 4:0 and to be honest I wouldn't be surprised here to see them winning once again by a good margin, they are in better shape and Dortmund is banged-up with key injuries and also Bayern had 3 more days rest than Dortmund, I expect Bayern to beat Dortmund here and defend their lead over Leipzig.

Good Luck

拜仁的这个赛季比过去要艰难得多,这与上个赛季缺乏休息、很多伤病以及一些在另一个时区的旅行造成了很大的影响,但总体上拜仁看起来仍然不错,目前只领先莱比锡2分,而莱比锡将是他们本赛季夺冠的主要竞争对手。我认为拜仁整体上还没有看到上赛季的那支球队,但我们已经开始看到上赛季的那支球队了,我真的很喜欢他们在欧冠客场对阵拉齐奥时的表现,他们以4:1轻松击败了他们,而在德甲主场他们又以5:1击败了科隆,我们开始看到汉斯的球队在上赛季的伟大表现中出现了一些火花。领先被缩小到2分的唯一原因是主场3:3战平比勒费尔德和客场1:2败给法兰克福,但这些结果在我看来是有理由的,他们在一个不同的国家和时区参加了世俱杯,这把球队搞得很糟,他们在那些比赛中看起来很疲惫,但在那两场比赛之后,我们又看到了一支非常强大的拜仁,所以我希望他们在这里开始一轮漂亮的胜利。这场比赛拜仁慕尼黑没有科斯塔、尼亚祖、帕瓦尔德和托利索。努贝尔令人怀疑。

第五名的多特蒙德并不是他们本赛季所期望的,他们想和拜仁一起为联赛冠军而战,但我们很快就明白这是不可能的,现在他们甚至有可能错过前四名,但他们仍然在追逐,只落后法兰克福3分。甚至多特蒙德这个赛季看起来也不太好,他们有很多比赛打得很糟糕,他们现在已经连胜4场,他们在欧冠客场以3比2击败塞维利亚,在德甲客场以4比0击败对手沙尔克,在主场以3比0击败比勒费尔德,在德国杯客场以1比0击败格拉德巴赫。多特蒙德甚至连赢了4场比赛,说实话我不太喜欢他们的表现,那4场胜利中有2场是对阵非常糟糕的沙尔克和比勒费尔德,即使他们击败了格拉德巴赫,他们赢了那场比赛也很幸运,因为格拉德巴赫有很明显的进球机会,但都错过了,而且他们也因为受伤失去了关键球员,而这场比赛也将会错过。这场比赛多特蒙德将失去阿坎吉、雷纳、施梅尔策、维塞尔、格雷罗和桑乔。

在主场对多特蒙德的比赛中,拜仁通常占据主导地位,在客场多特蒙德通常会有一场比赛,就像上一场在多特蒙德的比赛一样,拜仁以3:2获胜,但当时拜仁踢得不太好,多特蒙德踢得更好,但在这场比赛中,我认为拜仁明显领先。我真的很喜欢这支球队在过去的两场比赛中表现的几乎和上赛季一样,他们今天应该不会有问题给多特蒙德的防线带来很多问题,因为他们在过去三场主场对阵多特蒙德的比赛中,拜仁分别以6:0,5:0和4:0获胜,老实说,如果他们再次以很大的优势获胜,我不会感到惊讶。他们的状态比较好,多特蒙德也有很多关键的伤病,拜仁也比多特蒙德多休息了3天,我希望拜仁能在这里击败多特蒙德并保住他们对莱比锡的领先优势。

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