Santa Clara VS Oliveirense

Oliveirense challenge Santa Clara in this Portuguese League Cup battle at Estádio de São Miguel in Ponta Delgada early Wednesday morning Beijing time. It has not a good season at all for Santa Clara in Liga Portugal so far.They have looked much weaker than last season when they finished in the 7th place with 40 points in the pocket. We must not forget that this was, however, some six points more than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). Their bad goal difference of 38:54 reflects the fact that they were not, in reality very good team despite the seemingly high 7th place. The 7th place was much higher than I, the bookmakers, most football analysts or probably even their own fans would have believed before the last season took off. The betting market clearly fails to realize how much their level of football has dropped this season and keep respecting them too much! They lost their most recent match, it was their opening match in the League Cup, to a small team, Leixoes, who play in Liga Portugal2. 2-1 was the final score in the hosts' favor and Santa Clara were, once again, very disappointing! Yes, their defender Cristian Gonzalez received a direct a red card in the first half but they did not convince me even before the sending off despite taking an early lead.

The visitors have taken just 13 points so far in Liga Portugal and have scored only 11 times which is the third-lowest number in the league! Their position in the standings is 14th in this league with a total of 18 teams and they might even relegate at the end of the season.. I expect their coach to rotate his squad here as League Cup is definitely not the main thing for Santa Clara this season. Moreover, I think their coach is an over-rated one! Their fans have been very frustrated at times this season and the atmosphere at Estádio de São Miguel is not going to be that great but of course the home advantage must still be taken into account here. The hosts are, of course, better than the visitors in all areas of the game, even with squad rotation, and are 53% favorites to win. However, all my fans and I need is for Oliveirense to avoid losing by more than one goal's difference! They have managed to do this in all except for one of their most recent 12 matches.. They have in recent weeks clearly improved their defense compared to the early season. This is promising of them amid facing a more classy team who have more skilled attackers than the ones they normally face in Liga portugal2. Their defense has had a better structure and defenders recently and the defenders do not make too many silly mistakes anymore. They have not taken a win for a while though but always fight hard and have a very good team spirit according to my sources. In their most recent match they once again defended well and took a draw against, a pretty good team in Liga Portugal2, Feirense. This is the league where Oliveirense also play in.

For the visitors this is a big match – and competition as a whole. They have some promising young players aiming to build a career in bigger leagues.. These guys would surely love to prove their skills against a much bigger club! Before the loss to Leixoes Santa Clara did beat Estoril as favorites according to the betting market 3-1 at home. The final score is, however, pretty misleading as the visitors had 65% ball possession. They also recorded more scoring attempts, total passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Santa Clara did record much more shots on goal though. Santa have looked a little better in their most recent five games than a month or two ago winning two of these five games but let's keep in mind that they have won by more than one goal's difference just once in their latest 17 games! I do not have not seen their offensive game improving too much lately despite the points they have managed to grab.. With the +1.5 goals handicap option we have a 74% chance to win – once again!

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圣克拉拉VS奥利弗兰斯

北京时间周三清晨，在蓬塔德尔加达球场Estádio de São米格尔，橄榄队将在葡萄牙联赛杯中挑战圣克拉拉队。到目前为止，圣克拉拉在葡萄牙西甲的赛季表现并不好。他们看起来比上赛季弱多了，上赛季他们以40分的成绩排在第七。我们不能忘记，这比他们应该得到的预期分数(xPTS)多了大约6分。他们38:54的净胜球差反映了一个事实，那就是尽管他们排在第7名，但实际上他们并不是一个非常好的球队。第7名的排名远远高于我、博彩公司、大多数足球分析师甚至他们自己的球迷在上赛季开始前的想象。博彩市场显然没有意识到他们的足球水平在本赛季下降了多少，一直太尊重他们了!他们最近的一场比赛，是他们在联赛杯的首场比赛，输给了一支在葡萄牙西甲踢球的小球队雷克斯。2比1是东道主获胜的最后比分，圣克拉拉队再一次非常令人失望!是的，他们的后卫克里斯蒂安·冈萨雷斯在上半场直接吃到了一张红牌，但即使在被罚下之前，他们也没能说服我，尽管他们一开始就领先。

客队到目前为止在葡甲只拿到了13分，而且只有11次进球，这是联赛中第三低的数字!他们在本赛季共有18支球队的联赛中排名第14，甚至有可能在赛季末降级。我希望他们的教练在这里轮换他的阵容，因为联赛杯绝对不是圣克拉拉本赛季的主要任务。而且，我认为他们的教练被高估了!他们的球迷本赛季有时非常沮丧，在Estádio de São的气氛米格尔不会那么好，但当然主场优势仍然必须考虑在内。当然，东道主在比赛的各个方面都比客队强，即使是在轮换阵容的情况下，他们有53%的胜算。然而，我和我所有的球迷都希望橄榄城能避免输掉超过一个球的差距!他们在最近的12场比赛中除了一场之外都做到了这一点。与赛季初相比，他们在最近几周明显提高了防守水平。这对他们来说是有希望的，因为他们面对的是一支更有水准的球队，拥有比他们在葡甲通常面对的更熟练的攻击手。他们的防守已经有了更好的结构和后卫，后卫不再犯太多愚蠢的错误了。据我的消息来源，他们已经有一段时间没有取得胜利了，但他们一直在努力战斗，有很好的团队精神。在最近的一场比赛中，他们再次防守出色，并在对阵葡甲劲旅费伦斯时取得了平局。这也是橄榄球队所在的联赛。

对客队来说，这是一场大比赛，也是一场整体的竞争。他们有一些有前途的年轻球员打算在更大的联赛中建立职业生涯。这些家伙肯定很想在面对更大的俱乐部时证明他们的技术!在输给雷克索斯之前，圣克拉拉队在主场以3:1的比分击败了埃斯托里尔队。然而，最终的比分是相当误导人的，因为客队有65%的控球率。他们还记录了更多的得分尝试、总传球、进攻和危险进攻。不过圣克拉拉队的射门次数确实更多。圣诞老人最近的五场比赛看起来比一两个月前好多了，五场比赛赢了两场，但让我们记住，他们在最近的17场比赛中只有一场比分超过1球!我没有看到他们最近的进攻有了很大的进步，尽管他们已经设法拿到了分数。加上+1.5球的障碍选项，我们有74%的机会再次获胜!